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Süper Lig

Referee: Ali Sansalan

Besiktas

T T S T S

3–1

Full-time

Kocaelispor

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Kocaelispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

80%

17%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,51 xG 0,29

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 10. · Kocaelispor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	7	0	0	+17	+10.1	21
2	Fenerbahce	7	4	3	0	+7	+10.8	15
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.2	14
4	Goztep	7	3	4	0	+8	+3.2	13
5	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+1.4	12
6	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-2	-1.5	11
7	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	-1.1	10
8	Antalyaspor	7	3	1	3	-1	-4.0	10
9	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-3.0	9
10	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+1	+3.9	9
11	Kasimpasa	7	2	2	3	-1	-1.5	8
12	Buyuksehyr	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.1	6
13	Rizespor	6	1	2	3	-5	+0.6	5
14	Eyüpspor	7	1	2	4	-6	-5.4	5
15	Kayserispor	7	0	5	2	-8	-3.1	5
16	Genclerbirligi	7	1	1	5	-5	-5.2	4
17	Karagumruk	7	1	0	6	-9	-4.1	3
18	Kocaelispor	6	0	2	4	-6	-1.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+5	+9.6	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	+3.6	9
3	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
4	Samsunspor	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.3	7
5	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.3	7
6	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.3	6
7	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.7	6
8	Goztep	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.4	5
9	Alanyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.3	4
10	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
11	Eyüpspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.9	4
12	Buyuksehyr	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.7	3
13	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
14	Rizespor	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.6	3
15	Kocaelispor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.6	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.3	2
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.9	1
18	Karagumruk	4	0	0	4	-6	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	+6.5	12
2	Goztep	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.8	8
3	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.4	7
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.0	6
5	Antalyaspor	4	2	0	2	-1	-4.2	6
6	Fenerbahce	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.2	5
7	Samsunspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
8	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
9	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
10	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-2	-3.8	4
11	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.7	3
12	Kayserispor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.8	3
13	Besiktas	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
14	Karagumruk	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.2	3
15	Rizespor	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
16	Eyüpspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.6	1
17	Genclerbirligi	4	0	1	3	-3	-5.1	1
18	Kocaelispor	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.