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Süper Lig

Referee: D Tonusluoğlu

Alanyaspor

U U U T T

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

29%

14%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,67 xG 1,04

43% Possession 57%

6 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 13. · Karagumruk 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	7	0	0	+15	+13.0	21
2	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+10	+10.1	19
3	Ad. Demirspor	7	4	2	1	+9	+4.0	14
4	Besiktas	7	4	1	2	+1	+4.2	13
5	Trabzonspor	7	4	0	3	+5	-0.6	12
6	Kasimpasa	7	3	3	1	-1	+0.2	12
7	Hatayspor	7	2	5	0	+5	+2.1	11
8	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	-3	-1.9	11
9	Kayserispor	7	2	4	1	+2	-1.4	10
10	Antalyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.0	9
11	Konyaspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
12	Sivasspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-0.5	7
13	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-3	-2.2	7
14	Ankaragücü	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.7	6
15	Karagumruk	7	1	3	3	-1	-4.7	6
16	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-7	-8.2	6
17	Pendikspor	7	0	4	3	-8	-4.1	4
18	Buyuksehyr	7	1	1	5	-8	-1.8	4
19	İstanbulspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-5.9	2
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	4	0	0	+11	+9.6	12
2	Ad. Demirspor	4	4	0	0	+10	+4.1	12
3	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+5	+5.3	9
4	Trabzonspor	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
5	Kayserispor	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
6	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.2	7
7	Kasimpasa	4	2	1	1	-2	+0.6	7
8	Antalyaspor	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
9	Hatayspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
10	Alanyaspor	4	1	2	1	+1	-0.1	5
11	Rizespor	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.7	5
12	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
13	Sivasspor	4	0	3	1	-2	+0.8	3
14	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.5	3
15	Ankaragücü	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.7	2
16	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.1	2
17	Pendikspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.4	2
18	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-5.1	1
19	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
20	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.3	9
3	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+2.4	6
4	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	+1.0	6
5	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-3.6	6
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
7	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.9	5
8	Karagumruk	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.6	4
9	Ankaragücü	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.4	4
10	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.3	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.0	4
12	Buyuksehyr	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.1	4
13	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	+1	-2.7	3
14	Gaziantep	4	1	0	3	-4	-6.6	3
15	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.0	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.5	2
17	Pendikspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.7	2
18	Alanyaspor	3	0	2	1	-4	-2.2	2
19	İstanbulspor	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
20	Samsunspor	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.