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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Galatasaray
S U S S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,3
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
67%
80%
Both score Ø 57%
33%
80%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray Olimpija Ljubljana
7′
🟨 Ivan Posavec
1–0 M. Icardi
B. Yılmaz
24′
Sacha Boey 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 David Sualehe
Half-time 1–0
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
46′
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
46′
56′
🔁 Pedro Lucas
↦ M. Nukić
H. Dervişoğlu 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
60′
Lucas Torreira 🟥
64′
70′
🔁 A. Krefl
↦ David Sualehe
A. Bardakcı 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
71′
Sérgio Oliveira 🔁
↦ E. Bayram
78′
78′
🔁 A. Bristrić
↦ I. Posavec
78′
🔁 S. Fadida
↦ A. Doffo
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
23 K. Ayhan D
40 E. Bayram D
3 Angeliño D
22 B. Kutlu M
34 L. Torreira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
14 W. Zaha
94 C. Bakambu
21 H. Dervişoğlu
42 A. Bardakcı
27 Sérgio Oliveira
11 Y. Akgün
83 E. Akman
25 V. Nelsson
88 K. Karataş
2 L. Dubois
19 G. Güvenç
6 F. Midtsjø

Coach: O. Buruk

Olimpija Ljubljana

5-4-1
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
16 A. Muhamedbegović D
6 M. Karamatić D
3 David Sualehe D
19 S. Sešlar M
21 I. Posavec M
34 A. Doffo M
99 Rui Pedro M
9 M. Nukić F
Bench (12)
37 Pedro Lucas
43 A. Krefl
17 A. Bristrić
11 S. Fadida
26 V. Janković
8 J. Lasickas
33 N. Gavrić
77 A. Jakupović
20 N. Motika
22 D. Pintol
27 P. Estrada
31 Ž. Mauricio

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.