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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Ümraniyespor
T S U T S
2–2
Full-time
Hatayspor
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
13%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ümraniyespor 19. · Hatayspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 15 10 3 2 +15 33
2 Fenerbahce 15 10 2 3 +24 32
3 Buyuksehyr 15 9 3 3 +8 30
4 Ad. Demirspor 15 7 6 2 +10 27
5 Besiktas 15 7 5 3 +9 26
6 Trabzonspor 15 7 5 3 +2 26
7 Konyaspor 15 6 7 2 +7 25
8 Kayserispor 15 7 2 6 +3 23
9 Alanyaspor 16 5 6 5 -3 21
10 Giresunspor 15 5 4 6 -6 19
11 Gaziantep 15 4 5 6 -1 17
12 Karagumruk 15 4 4 7 -1 16
13 Ankaragücü 15 4 4 7 -4 16
14 Antalyaspor 14 5 1 8 -6 16
15 Kasimpasa 15 4 3 8 -13 15
16 Hatayspor 15 4 3 8 -14 15
17 Sivasspor 16 3 5 8 -6 14
18 İstanbulspor 15 3 2 10 -14 11
19 Ümraniyespor 15 2 4 9 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor Hatayspor
Mehmet Umut Nayir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
7′
24′
A. El Kaabi 0–1
Oğuz Gürbulak 🟨
30′
1–1 D. Avounou
39′
Half-time 1–2
53′
S. Lobzhanidze 1–2
A. El Kaabi
65′
🟨 Simon Falette
2–2 U. Nayir
67′
K. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ O. Gürbulak
68′
A. Bettaieb 🔁
↦ V. Gheorghe
69′
71′
🟨 Ognjen Vranješ
77′
🔁 Zé Luís
↦ B. Yıldırım
77′
🔁 M. Boudjemaa
↦ O. Ergün
Allyson Aires Dos Santos 🟥
78′
Allyson Aires Dos Santos ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
78′
S. Göksu 🔁
↦ Y. Del Valle
83′
90′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
Isaac Sackey 🟨
94′
Serkan Göksu 🟨
97′
A. Mršić 🔁
↦ D. Avounou
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
1 S. Kırıntılı G
90 S. Popov D
33 Allyson D
44 T. Glumac D
16 O. Atasayar D
20 O. Gürbulak M
5 I. Sackey M
14 D. Avounou M
7 V. Gheorghe F
18 U. Nayir F
28 Y. Del Valle F
Bench (10)
41 K. Yılmaz
27 A. Bettaieb
8 S. Göksu
39 A. Mršić
4 M. Eser
2 M. Yılmaz
13 O. Özdemir
10 M. Mimaroğlu
23 F. Şanlitürk
3 E. Lenjani

Coach: R. Uçar

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
12 K. Çörekçi D
5 O. Vranješ D
3 S. Falette D
26 K. Kanak D
4 O. Ergün M
10 R. Aabid M
25 A. El Kaabi M
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
99 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (10)
29 Zé Luís
8 M. Boudjemaa
9 D. Saint-Louis
77 S. Baş
15 R. Yılmaz
19 M. Mert
22 K. Alıcı
6 M. Çağıran
57 E. Aksoy
31 A. Yiğiter

Coach: V. Demirel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,22
U ✓
3,43
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.