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Super League

Referee: T Bognár

PAOK

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,7

This season — Super League · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

53%

47%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

35%

40%

Both score Ø 37%

41%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 20

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	17	14	3	0	+22	45
2	AEK	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	PAOK	17	9	6	2	+12	33
4	Olympiakos	17	9	5	3	+16	32
5	Volos NFC	17	8	5	4	+0	29
6	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	4	4	+10	25
7	Aris	16	7	4	5	+9	25
8	Panetolikos	18	6	4	8	+1	22
9	Atromitos	17	5	5	7	-2	20
10	Asteras Tripolis	17	3	8	6	-7	17
11	Giannina	17	3	5	9	-19	14
12	OFI Crete	17	2	7	8	-12	13
13	Levadeiakos	18	2	6	10	-13	12
14	Lamia	17	1	7	9	-25	10
15	Ionikos	17	1	5	11	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	PAOK	8	6	1	1	+8	19
3	AEK	7	6	0	1	+13	18
4	Olympiakos	8	5	2	1	+12	17
5	Aris Thessalonikis	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Aris	8	5	2	1	+9	17
7	Volos NFC	9	5	1	3	-1	16
8	Atromitos	9	3	5	1	+3	14
9	Asteras Tripolis	9	3	4	2	+2	13
10	Giannina	9	3	3	3	-8	12
11	Panetolikos	9	3	1	5	-2	10
12	Levadeiakos	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Lamia	7	1	3	3	-6	6
14	OFI Crete	9	1	3	5	-6	6
15	Ionikos	8	0	5	3	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Panathinaikos	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	Olympiakos	9	4	3	2	+4	15
4	PAOK	9	3	5	1	+4	14
5	Volos NFC	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Panetolikos	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	2	3	+1	8
8	Aris	8	2	2	4	+0	8
9	OFI Crete	8	1	4	3	-6	7
10	Atromitos	8	2	0	6	-5	6
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	0	4	4	-9	4
12	Lamia	10	0	4	6	-19	4
13	Ionikos	9	1	0	8	-10	3
14	Giannina	8	0	2	6	-11	2
15	Levadeiakos	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.