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Süper Lig

Referee: K Sağlam

Kayserispor

T T T U U

0–0

Full-time

Besiktas

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

42%

54%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 0,21

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 11. · Besiktas 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	21	3	1	+38	+32.9	66
2	Fenerbahce	25	20	4	1	+45	+45.2	64
3	Trabzonspor	25	12	4	9	+7	-0.5	40
4	Besiktas	24	12	3	9	+4	+8.8	39
5	Kasimpasa	25	11	5	9	-1	-6.9	38
6	Rizespor	25	10	6	9	-7	-3.9	36
7	Antalyaspor	24	8	10	6	+4	+2.7	34
8	Buyuksehyr	25	9	6	10	+1	-1.8	33
9	Sivasspor	25	8	9	8	-6	-5.7	33
10	Ad. Demirspor	25	7	10	8	+4	-1.5	31
11	Kayserispor	24	8	7	9	-5	-7.0	31
12	Ankaragücü	25	6	11	8	+1	-3.0	29
13	Hatayspor	25	6	10	9	-3	-1.4	28
14	Alanyaspor	25	6	10	9	-8	+0.8	28
15	Karagumruk	25	7	6	12	+1	-9.1	27
16	Gaziantep	25	7	6	12	-7	-9.6	27
17	Samsunspor	24	7	5	12	-8	+1.8	26
18	Pendikspor	25	6	8	11	-18	-9.2	26
19	Konyaspor	25	5	10	10	-13	-12.5	25
20	İstanbulspor	25	3	5	17	-29	-20.1	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	13	0	0	+23	+23.5	39
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	3	1	+23	+24.8	30
3	Rizespor	13	8	3	2	+7	+5.0	27
4	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
5	Besiktas	12	7	2	3	+7	+5.2	23
6	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+12	-0.1	22
7	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+3	+1.9	22
8	Antalyaspor	13	5	6	2	+2	+1.0	21
9	Buyuksehyr	12	6	2	4	+6	-0.5	20
10	Samsunspor	12	6	2	4	+3	+3.3	20
11	Kasimpasa	12	6	2	4	+0	-3.3	20
12	Kayserispor	12	5	4	3	+4	+1.5	19
13	Hatayspor	12	4	6	2	+4	-0.6	18
14	Ankaragücü	13	4	6	3	+3	+3.4	18
15	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
16	Sivasspor	12	3	7	2	+0	+1.3	16
17	Konyaspor	12	4	3	5	+1	-0.5	15
18	Pendikspor	12	4	3	5	-6	-6.1	15
19	Gaziantep	12	3	4	5	-4	-5.9	13
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	11	1	0	+22	+20.3	34
2	Galatasaray	12	8	3	1	+15	+9.4	27
3	Trabzonspor	13	5	3	5	+4	-2.4	18
4	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.6	18
5	Sivasspor	13	5	2	6	-6	-7.0	17
6	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
7	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
8	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	+2	+1.7	13
9	Buyuksehyr	13	3	4	6	-5	-1.3	13
10	Kayserispor	12	3	3	6	-9	-8.5	12
11	Ankaragücü	12	2	5	5	-2	-6.4	11
12	Alanyaspor	13	2	5	6	-9	-3.2	11
13	Pendikspor	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.1	11
14	Hatayspor	13	2	4	7	-7	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	13	1	7	5	-14	-12.0	10
16	Rizespor	12	2	3	7	-14	-8.9	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	12	0	7	5	-7	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	12	1	2	9	-11	-9.0	5
20	İstanbulspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-9.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.