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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Hatayspor

S S T U T

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 52%

22%

81%

Points per game

1,1

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

48%

63%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,58 xG 2,11

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 16. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	23	3	1	+42	+37.4	72
2	Fenerbahce	27	22	4	1	+48	+48.8	70
3	Trabzonspor	27	14	4	9	+10	+0.5	46
4	Besiktas	27	14	4	9	+8	+9.6	46
5	Kasimpasa	28	11	7	10	-2	-10.0	40
6	Rizespor	28	11	6	11	-9	-5.3	39
7	Sivasspor	28	9	11	8	-3	-6.0	38
8	Kayserispor	28	10	8	10	-6	-9.0	38
9	Buyuksehyr	27	10	6	11	+2	-1.0	36
10	Antalyaspor	27	8	11	8	+1	-0.3	35
11	Samsunspor	27	9	6	12	-3	+3.4	33
12	Ad. Demirspor	27	7	11	9	+3	-1.1	32
13	Ankaragücü	28	6	12	10	-3	-4.0	30
14	Alanyaspor	27	6	12	9	-8	+0.8	30
15	Karagumruk	27	7	8	12	+1	-8.9	29
16	Hatayspor	27	6	11	10	-5	-2.4	29
17	Gaziantep	27	7	7	13	-9	-9.7	28
18	Konyaspor	27	6	10	11	-13	-12.6	28
19	Pendikspor	27	6	8	13	-23	-10.5	26
20	İstanbulspor	28	3	7	18	-31	-19.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	14	0	0	+24	+25.9	42
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	3	1	+24	+27.5	33
3	Rizespor	15	9	3	3	+8	+4.4	30
4	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+9	+6.7	26
5	Samsunspor	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.4	26
6	Trabzonspor	13	8	1	4	+4	+2.2	25
7	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
8	Karagumruk	14	6	5	3	+12	-0.8	23
9	Kayserispor	14	6	5	3	+5	+1.1	23
10	Antalyaspor	14	5	7	2	+2	+0.6	22
11	Kasimpasa	14	6	4	4	+0	-3.8	22
12	Buyuksehyr	13	6	2	5	+5	+0.6	20
13	Hatayspor	13	4	7	2	+4	-0.3	19
14	Sivasspor	13	4	7	2	+3	+1.7	19
15	Ankaragücü	15	4	7	4	+0	+1.3	19
16	Konyaspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.9	18
17	Alanyaspor	13	4	6	3	+1	+3.4	18
18	Pendikspor	13	4	3	6	-8	-6.9	15
19	Gaziantep	14	3	5	6	-6	-6.0	14
20	İstanbulspor	14	2	3	9	-16	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	12	1	0	+24	+21.4	37
2	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+18	+11.5	30
3	Trabzonspor	14	6	3	5	+6	-1.6	21
4	Besiktas	14	6	2	6	-1	+2.9	20
5	Sivasspor	15	5	4	6	-6	-7.7	19
6	Kasimpasa	14	5	3	6	-2	-6.2	18
7	Buyuksehyr	14	4	4	6	-3	-1.6	16
8	Kayserispor	14	4	3	7	-11	-10.1	15
9	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
10	Antalyaspor	13	3	4	6	-1	-0.9	13
11	Alanyaspor	14	2	6	6	-9	-2.5	12
12	Ankaragücü	13	2	5	6	-3	-5.3	11
13	Pendikspor	14	2	5	7	-15	-3.6	11
14	Hatayspor	14	2	4	8	-9	-2.1	10
15	Konyaspor	14	1	7	6	-16	-13.5	10
16	Rizespor	13	2	3	8	-17	-9.7	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	14	0	8	6	-8	-6.0	8
18	Samsunspor	13	1	4	8	-11	-1.0	7
19	İstanbulspor	14	1	4	9	-15	-8.6	7
20	Karagumruk	13	1	3	9	-11	-8.1	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.