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Süper Lig

Referee: Ö Turtay

Hatayspor

U U T U S

3–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 24%

22%

26%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

52%

43%

Both score Ø 48%

57%

39%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,83 xG 1,92

39% Possession 61%

5 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 15. · Karagumruk 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	23	19	3	1	+43	+42.9	60
2	Galatasaray	23	19	3	1	+34	+31.5	60
3	Trabzonspor	23	11	4	8	+7	-2.5	37
4	Besiktas	23	11	3	9	+2	+9.8	36
5	Rizespor	23	10	5	8	-6	-4.4	35
6	Antalyaspor	23	8	10	5	+6	+3.2	34
7	Kasimpasa	23	9	5	9	-4	-8.3	32
8	Ad. Demirspor	23	7	10	6	+7	-1.4	31
9	Buyuksehyr	23	8	6	9	+1	-3.7	30
10	Kayserispor	23	8	6	9	-5	-6.9	30
11	Sivasspor	23	7	8	8	-7	-5.1	29
12	Ankaragücü	23	6	10	7	+2	-2.7	28
13	Alanyaspor	23	6	9	8	-7	+3.9	27
14	Samsunspor	23	7	5	11	-6	+2.5	26
15	Hatayspor	23	5	10	8	-3	-0.3	25
16	Karagumruk	23	6	6	11	+1	-10.3	24
17	Gaziantep	23	6	5	12	-9	-10.9	23
18	Pendikspor	23	5	8	10	-17	-8.1	23
19	Konyaspor	23	4	9	10	-14	-12.9	21
20	İstanbulspor	23	3	5	15	-25	-16.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	12	0	0	+21	+22.8	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+23	+23.0	29
3	Rizespor	12	8	2	2	+7	+5.2	26
4	Ad. Demirspor	12	7	3	2	+13	+5.0	24
5	Antalyaspor	12	5	6	1	+4	+1.5	21
6	Besiktas	11	6	2	3	+5	+6.2	20
7	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+5	+4.0	20
8	Karagumruk	12	5	4	3	+10	-1.3	19
9	Kayserispor	12	5	4	3	+4	+1.5	19
10	Trabzonspor	11	6	1	4	+1	+1.0	19
11	Buyuksehyr	11	5	2	4	+4	-3.1	17
12	Ankaragücü	12	4	5	3	+3	+3.5	17
13	Alanyaspor	12	4	5	3	+1	+4.1	17
14	Kasimpasa	11	5	2	4	-1	-4.6	17
15	Hatayspor	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.5	15
16	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	-1	+1.9	13
17	Konyaspor	11	3	3	5	+0	-0.7	12
18	Gaziantep	11	3	3	5	-4	-5.9	12
19	Pendikspor	11	3	3	5	-7	-6.1	12
20	İstanbulspor	12	2	3	7	-12	-9.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	11	10	1	0	+20	+19.8	31
2	Galatasaray	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.7	24
3	Trabzonspor	12	5	3	4	+6	-3.4	18
4	Besiktas	12	5	1	6	-3	+3.6	16
5	Sivasspor	12	5	1	6	-6	-7.1	16
6	Kasimpasa	12	4	3	5	-3	-3.7	15
7	Antalyaspor	11	3	4	4	+2	+1.7	13
8	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	-3	-0.6	13
9	Ankaragücü	11	2	5	4	-1	-6.2	11
10	Gaziantep	12	3	2	7	-5	-5.0	11
11	Kayserispor	11	3	2	6	-9	-8.4	11
12	Pendikspor	12	2	5	5	-10	-2.0	11
13	Hatayspor	12	2	4	6	-5	+0.1	10
14	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-0.2	10
15	Rizespor	11	2	3	6	-13	-9.6	9
16	Konyaspor	12	1	6	5	-14	-12.2	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	7	4	-6	-6.4	7
18	Samsunspor	12	1	3	8	-11	-1.5	6
19	Karagumruk	11	1	2	8	-9	-9.1	5
20	İstanbulspor	11	1	2	8	-13	-6.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.