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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Huru
Aalesund
T T U S S
0–3
Full-time
Lyn
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Lyn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 3. · Lyn 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stabaek 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Levanger 2 1 1 0 +5 4
3 Aalesund 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Sogndal 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Valerenga 3 1 1 1 -1 4
6 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Bryne 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Moss 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Asane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Raufoss 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Mjondalen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Sandnes ULF 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Lyn 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Start 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Lyn
S. Kilen 🟨
14′
M. Maksimov 🔁
↦ K. Nessø
24′
S. Kilen 🟨
35′
S. Kilen 🟥
35′
39′
D. Schneider 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 A. Berntsen
↦ T. Myhre
S. Grytebust 🟨
51′
67′
H. Kristiansen 0–2
75′
🔁 J. Hanstad
↦ M. Johansen
75′
🔁 J. Skaug
↦ H. Kristiansen
D. Jóhannsson 🔁
↦ I. Atanga
76′
76′
A. Hellum 0–3
80′
🔁 I. Laajab
↦ A. Hellum
81′
🔁 B. Hylen
↦ A. Olsen
S. Berntsen 🔁
↦ M. Karlsbakk
85′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 T. Grøgaard
4 N. Hopland
14 S. Haram
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
22 M. Karlsbakk
28 E. Kolve
15 S. Kilen
19 I. Atanga
10 Cláudio Braga
Bench (8)
20 M. Maksimov
11 D. Jóhannsson
35 S. Berntsen
21 A. Diop
26 T. Larsen
36 J. Norvik
34 T. Gulbrandsen
38 T. Ytterland

Coach: C. Johnsen

Lyn

1 A. Pedersen
4 W. Sell
18 H. Nilsen
3 J. Vedal Sjøl
6 D. Schneider
7 H. Kristiansen
5 E. Bydal
19 T. Myhre
11 A. Hellum
9 A. Olsen
10 M. Johansen
Bench (9)
16 A. Berntsen
20 J. Hanstad
21 J. Skaug
14 I. Laajab
77 B. Hylen
17 C. Lindquist
22 H. Meinseth
25 M. Ingebrigtsen
33 V. Engh

Coach: J. Halvorsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.