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Super League
Referee: M Krogh
1–2
Full-time
Olympiakos
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 18/20 matches
Win Ø 58%
50%
65%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 45%
44%
45%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
6 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Olympiakos 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 21 14 3 4 +38 45
2 AEK 20 13 6 1 +24 45
3 Panathinaikos 20 14 2 4 +33 44
4 Olympiakos 20 13 3 4 +25 42
5 Aris Thessalonikis 18 9 3 6 +8 30
6 Aris 19 9 3 7 +7 30
7 Asteras Tripolis 21 9 2 10 -7 29
8 Lamia 21 7 7 7 -7 28
9 Atromitos 20 6 8 6 -8 26
10 OFI Crete 21 5 8 8 -12 23
11 Panserraikos 20 5 6 9 -10 21
12 Volos NFC 20 3 5 12 -23 14
13 Panetolikos 21 3 5 13 -24 14
14 Kifisia 20 2 7 11 -25 13
15 Giannina 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
17′
Fran Navarro 0–1
Fabiano 🟨
19′
21′
Rodinei 0–2
Lindsay Rose 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–2
K. Saverio 🔁
↦ M. Suleymanov
56′
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
56′
64′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ Gelson Martins
Martín Montoya 🔁
↦ M. Odubajo
67′
Manu García 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
67′
G. Fetfatzidis 🔁
↦ M. Panagidis
76′
78′
🟨 Sotiris Alexandropoulos
78′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
85′
🔁 G. Biancone
↦ A. Ntoi
85′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ Fran Navarro
0–3 Quini
own goal
90′
93′
🟨 Rodinei
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
94 L. Choutesiotis G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
92 L. Rose D
3 F. Ferrari D
16 V. Darida M
28 B. Verstraete M
93 M. Suleymanov M
21 Rubén Pardo M
77 M. Panagidis M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
11 K. Saverio
12 Á. Zamora
33 Martín Montoya
6 Manu García
19 G. Fetfatzidis
8 C. Doukouré
44 Fran Vélez
23 Julián
27 J. Menéndez

Coach: A. Mantzios

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
74 A. Ntoi D
18 Quini D
32 S. Hezze M
20 João Carvalho M
19 G. Masouras M
15 S. Alexandropoulos M
10 Gelson Martins M
29 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
56 Daniel Podence
4 M. Camara
41 G. Biancone
7 K. Fortounis
3 F. Ortega
22 S. Jovetić
88 K. Tzolakis
6 Chiquinho
5 André Horta

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.