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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Hibernian

U T S T T

0–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T T T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

100%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

100%

40%

Average goals

3,2

3,6

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

23 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

10 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

15 Corners 7

5 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hibernian 8. · Kilmarnock 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	6	6	0	0	+11	+12.2	18
2	Rangers	6	4	1	1	+3	+2.3	13
3	Hearts	5	4	0	1	+7	+1.3	12
4	St Mirren	6	3	1	2	+2	+0.8	10
5	Motherwell	5	2	2	1	+3	+2.4	8
6	Dundee	6	2	1	3	+1	-2.2	7
7	ST Johnstone	6	2	1	3	-1	+0.2	7
8	Hibernian	5	2	0	3	-2	+1.2	6
9	Dundee United	6	1	2	3	-5	-1.3	5
10	Aberdeen	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.5	4
11	Falkirk	5	0	2	3	-4	-4.4	2
12	Kilmarnock	5	0	1	4	-10	-8.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.5	9
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+5	+6.2	9
3	ST Johnstone	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
4	Rangers	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
5	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
6	Dundee	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
7	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
8	Aberdeen	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.2	4
9	Dundee United	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.3	2
10	Hibernian	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.6	0
11	Falkirk	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
12	Kilmarnock	3	0	0	3	-9	-7.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+6	+6.0	9
2	Rangers	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
3	St Mirren	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.6	6
4	Hibernian	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.6	6
5	Motherwell	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.0	4
6	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.2	3
7	Dundee	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.0	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.8	2
10	Kilmarnock	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	ST Johnstone	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.7	1
12	Aberdeen	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.