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KNVB Beker
Spakenburg
S T T S S
3–6
Full-time
Twente
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
1,5
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
4,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,91 xG 3,34
44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 31
8 Shots on target 15
3 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 3
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spakenburg 8. · Twente 30.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hsc 21 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Hoogeveen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Hoek 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Sportlust '46 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 SC Genemuiden 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Telstar 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Heracles 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Almere City 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Halsteren 3 2 0 1 +2 6
15 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
16 Dovo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
17 ROHDA Raalte 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
19 Excelsior Maassluis 3 2 0 1 +0 6
20 GVVV Veenendaal 3 2 0 1 +0 6
21 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 FC Lisse 3 2 0 1 -1 6
23 Roda 2 1 1 0 +4 4
24 Den Bosch 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Barendrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +7 3
27 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +5 3
28 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Twente 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Zwolle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 For Sittard 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 FC OSS 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 AFC Amsterdam 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
58 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
65 Katwijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
66 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
67 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 FC Eindhoven 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Excelsior 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 MVV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
104 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.