Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Spakenburg
Twente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hsc 21
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |
Hoogeveen
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |
Hoek
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |
Sportlust '46
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |
SC Genemuiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |
Telstar
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 6 |
| 7 |
Heracles
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 |
Spakenburg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 9 |
De Treffers
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eemdijk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |
Heerenveen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Nijmegen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
Almere City
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Halsteren
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |
Capelle
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 16 |
Dovo
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
ROHDA Raalte
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |
Gemert
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 20 |
GVVV Veenendaal
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 21 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 22 |
FC Lisse
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |
Roda
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 24 |
Den Bosch
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Barendrecht
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 26 |
Willem II
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 27 |
Ajax
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Kozakken Boys
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 29 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 30 |
Twente
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 31 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 32 |
Excelsior '31
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 33 |
Kloetinge
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 34 |
Hercules
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 35 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 36 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 37 |
Utrecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 38 |
Zwolle
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 39 |
ASWH
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
UDI '19
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Roosendaal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 43 |
Volendam
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 44 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 45 |
Meerssen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 46 |
't Zand
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
For Sittard
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
TEC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Noordwijk
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 50 |
HHC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 51 |
FC OSS
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 52 |
AFC Amsterdam
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
HZVV
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 54 |
SVV Scheveningen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 55 |
URK
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 56 |
ARC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 57 |
Groene Ster
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 58 |
Den Haag
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 59 |
Heino
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 60 |
De Foresters
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 61 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Vitesse
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 63 |
VVOG
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 64 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 65 |
Katwijk
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 66 |
Blauw Geel
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 67 |
Cambuur
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 68 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
FC Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
Poortugaal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Quick Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Huizen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
UNA
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Vvsb
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Zwaluwen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Harkemase Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
Westlandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Ijsselmeervogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Excelsior
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 82 |
De Graafschap
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Aalsmeer
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
Mierlo-Hout
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
TOGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
MVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
ACV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Walcheren
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
Staphorst
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
SteDoCo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
AWC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
Juliana '31
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
RKAV Volendam
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 95 |
Groningen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 96 |
NAC Breda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 97 |
Sportclub 25
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 98 |
Helmond Sport
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 99 |
Hollandia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 100 |
VVV Venlo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 101 |
DVO
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 102 |
Olde Veste '54
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 103 |
FC Emmen
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 104 |
GOES
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 105 |
Kampong
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 106 |
Dongen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 107 |
Erp
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 108 |
Velocitas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 109 |
Dordrecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Spakenburg
Dovo
Hercules
Spakenburg
Spakenburg
Katwijk
Spakenburg
Excelsior
Spakenburg
Helmond Sport
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.