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Conference League
Referee: D Nikolic
Legia
T U T T T
4–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
71%
80%
Both score Ø 76%
71%
80%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,28 xG 0,63
62% Possession 38%
31 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 2
14 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Legia Lincoln Red Imps FC
1–0 A. Colak
B. Kapustka
21′
Kacper Urbański 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ E. Krasniqi
57′
2–0 B. Kapustka
K. Urbanski
62′
63′
🔁 K. Gomez
↦ R. Munoz
63′
🔁 Juanje
↦ B. Dabo
R. Vinagre 🔁
↦ A. Reca
68′
M. Rajovic 🔁
↦ A. Colak
68′
3–0 M. Rajovic
J. Zewlakow
70′
71′
🔁 A. El Ghobashy
↦ G. Torrilla
C. Goncalves 🔁
↦ K. Urbanski
76′
N. Weisshaupt 🔁
↦ J. Zewlakow
76′
81′
🔁 J. Toscano
↦ N. Pozo
81′
🔁 L. Casciaro
↦ T. Kolega
82′
🟨 Ayman El Ghobashy
4–0 V. Bichakhchyan
83′
89′
T. De Barr 4–1
Juanje
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
27 G. Kobylak G
30 P. Stojanovic D
4 M. Burch D
91 K. Piatkowski D
13 A. Reca D
67 B. Kapustka M
44 D. Szymanski M
82 K. Urbanski M
77 E. Krasniqi F
14 A. Colak F
20 J. Zewlakow F
Bench (10)
1 K. Tobiasz
50 W. Banasik
5 C. Goncalves
8 R. Augustyniak
11 K. Chodyna
19 R. Vinagre
21 V. Bichakhchyan
29 M. Rajovic
53 W. Urbanski
99 N. Weisshaupt

Coach: Marek Papszun

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-4-2
13 J. Hankins
15 R. Munoz D
6 B. Lopes D
23 Joe D
21 Nano D
24 T. Kolega M
18 T. Garcia M
22 G. Torrilla M
80 B. Dabo M
4 N. Pozo F
10 T. De Barr F
Bench (11)
1 Nauzet Santana
2 J. Toscano
3 C. Rutjens
5 I. Ayew
7 L. Casciaro
9 K. Gomez
11 Juanje
19 K. Clinton
29 L. Chipolina
71 J. Peacock
99 A. El Ghobashy

Coach: Juan Bezares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.