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KNVB Beker

Referee: B van Kommer

Spakenburg

U S T S S

2–3

Full-time

Excelsior

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

16 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spakenburg 9. · Excelsior 37. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RKAV Volendam	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Quick Boys	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Hercules	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
20	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
21	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
22	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
24	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
61	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
99	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
100	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
101	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
104	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
105	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	RKAV Volendam	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
36	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
2	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.