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Conference League
Referee: A Taylor
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T S S S
0–0
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 56%
71%
40%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
57%
20%
Both score Ø 46%
71%
20%
Average goals
2,9
1,4
Scored
1,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,43 xG 0,43
64% Possession 36%
9 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk HNK Rijeka
Lucas Ferreira 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
12′
Half-time 0–0
Valeriy Bondar 🟨
51′
55′
🟨 Ante Oreč
59′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ A. Orec
66′
🔁 S. Butic
↦ S. Vignato
66′
🔁 B. Bogojevic
↦ L. Menalo
72′
🟨 Stjepan Radeljić
78′
🟨 Merveil Ndockyt
83′
🔁 N. Jankovic
↦ M. Ndockyt
83′
🔁 D. Cop
↦ T. Fruk
Luca Meirelles 🔁
↦ Newerton
84′
D. Kryskiv 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
89′
Isaque Silva 🔁
↦ Eguinaldo
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
23 K. Fesyun G
17 V. Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
29 Y. Nazaryna M
10 Pedrinho M
27 O. Ocheretko M
6 Marlon Gomes M
11 Newerton M
7 Eguinaldo F
Bench (12)
48 D. Tvardovskyi
8 D. Kryskiv
9 M. Shved
14 Isaque Silva
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
19 Kaua Elias
21 A. Bondarenko
26 Y. Konoplya
37 Lucas Ferreira
49 Luca Meirelles
74 M. Faryna

Coach: Arda Turan

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
13 M. Zlomislic G
22 A. Orec D
51 A. Husic D
6 S. Radeljic D
34 M. Devetak D
26 T. Dantas M
20 M. Ndockyt M
17 L. Menalo M
10 T. Fruk F
19 S. Vignato M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (11)
1 V. Kovac
99 A. Todorovic
2 L. Kitin
4 N. Jankovic
9 D. Cop
23 J. Lasickas
27 S. Butic
30 B. Bogojevic
72 F. Skalamera
77 A. Juric
91 N. Bodetic

Coach: Victor Sanchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.