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Conference League
Referee: M Lukjancukas
AEK Larnaca
S S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Shkendija
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larnaca Shkendija
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
20%
0%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
1,4
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,36 xG 0,19
73% Possession 27%
17 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

AEK Larnaca Shkendija
42′
🟨 Aleksander Trumci
Đorđe Ivanović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Besart Ibraimi
53′
🟥 Liridon Latifi
58′
🔁 A. Alhassan
↦ K. Qaka
58′
🔁 F. Tamba
↦ B. Ibraimi
K. Angielski 🔁
↦ R. Bajic
67′
E. Cabrera 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
67′
71′
🔁 A. Mazari
↦ S. Spahiu
Godswill Ekpolo 🟨
78′
Mathias Gonzalez 🔁
↦ G. Naoum
81′
1–0 K. Angielski ⚽
G. Ekpolo
83′
E. Saborit 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
92′
96′
🔁 M. Murati
↦ A. Zejnullai
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK Larnaca

4-1-4-1
1 Z. Alomerovic G
22 G. Ekpolo D
15 H. Milicevic D
27 V. Roberge D
14 A. Garcia D
7 Ledes Gustavo M
10 W. Rubio M
29 G. Naoum M
21 Miramon M
9 D. Ivanovic M
11 R. Bajic F
Bench (11)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
4 E. Saborit
19 K. Angielski
30 E. Cabrera
35 C. Thoma
36 C. Loukaidis
37 D. Gerasimou
41 Mathias Gonzalez
93 J. Gnali

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Shkendija

4-2-3-1
24 B. Gaye G
2 A. Trumci D
15 I. Fetai D
5 K. Cake D
11 R. Webster D
4 R. Ramadani M
28 K. Qaka M
49 S. Spahiu M
17 A. Zejnullai M
77 L. Latifi M
7 B. Ibraimi F
Bench (12)
25 A. Amzai
3 E. Belica
6 A. Alhassan
8 F. Ramadani
9 F. Ademi
10 E. Krasniqi
16 M. Murati
20 A. Mazari
22 N. Ajetovikj
26 A. Meliqi
27 L. Kaba
29 F. Tamba

Coach: Jeton Bekjiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjancukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.