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KNVB Beker
Referee: M Eijgelsheim
Spakenburg
S U S T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spakenburg Helmond Sport
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Groene Ster 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 OJC Rosmalen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Hercules 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 RKAV Volendam 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 UNA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Ijsselmeervogels 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 DEM 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Gemert 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 RKSV Nuenen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 TEC 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 SJC Noordwijk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
16 VV Scherpenzeel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 Blauw Geel 2 1 0 1 +3 3
18 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 GVV Unitas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 SVV Scheveningen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Quick Boys 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Lisse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Harkemase Boys 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Hoek 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Sportlust '46 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Westlandia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 HVCH 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Csv Apeldoorn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Olde Veste '54 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Barendrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Staphorst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Dovo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Vvsb 2 0 1 1 -1 1
43 Hsc 21 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 SC Genemuiden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Berkum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Bon Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 AWC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 AGB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Veensche Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Kozakken Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 URK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 XerxesDZB (Zat) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 HSV ODIN 59 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Jubbega 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Chevremont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 HV & CV Quick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 ONS Sneek 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Nieuwkoop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Purmersteijn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Avanti '31 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 ACV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 SVOD '22 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Zwaluw VFC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Blauw Wit '34 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Bunde 1 0 0 1 -5 0
73 Groen Wit '62 1 0 0 1 -6 0
74 BOL 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spakenburg Helmond Sport
8′
P. van Ooijen 0–1
M. Mallahi
14′
🟨 P. van Ooijen
14′
🟨 G. Botos
F. van der Linden 🟨
14′
1–1 F. van der Linden
K. Werkman
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Vankerkhoven
↦ G. Botos
46′
🔁 H. Lorentzen
↦ A. van den Hurk
57′
🟨 L. Vankerkhoven
B. van Essen 🔁
↦ F. Kourouma
71′
73′
🔁 E. Lieftink
↦ F. Van Den Eynden
73′
🔁 P. Krätschmer
↦ E. Ostrc
W. Vink 🔁
↦ K. Wesdorp
80′
T. Noordhoff 🔁
↦ M. Veenhoven
80′
N. Verhagen 🟨
83′
A. El Azzouti 🔁
↦ M. Suleiman
84′
84′
🔁 J. Amuzu
↦ M. Mallahi
2–1 A. El Azzouti
F. van der Linden
92′
3–1 S. van Huffel
F. van der Linden
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Spakenburg

1 M. Heus
4 K. Werkman
3 Masies Artien
2 N. Verhagen
5 D. Green
21 M. Veenhoven
8 S. van Huffel
14 K. Wesdorp
9 F. van der Linden
11 M. Suleiman
18 F. Kourouma
Bench (10)
17 B. van Essen
10 W. Vink
6 T. Noordhoff
7 A. El Azzouti
27 G. Ruizendaal
15 H. van Lopik
20 N. Kroonenberg
43 T. Kleijweg
19 L. Ruizendaal
13 M. de Ruiter

Coach: C. de Graaf

Helmond Sport

1 W. van der Steen
2 B. van Vlerken
3 F. Van Den Eynden
28 M. Kreekels
19 G. Botos
20 E. Ostrc
24 J. Schroijen
11 P. van Ooijen
39 A. van den Hurk
9 M. Kaars
14 M. Mallahi
Bench (12)
27 L. Vankerkhoven
8 H. Lorentzen
22 E. Lieftink
4 P. Krätschmer
7 J. Amuzu
23 R. ten Hove
18 Alvaro Marin
29 M. Chacón
30 G. Çulhacı
6 M. Ludwig
10 A. Van Keilegom
21 R. Mantel

Coach: B. Peeters

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.