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Conference League
Referee: I Frid
2–2
Full-time
KuPS
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 39%
57%
20%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
43%
20%
Both score Ø 35%
29%
40%
Average goals
2,0
1,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
0,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,57 xG 0,26
56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Crystal Palace KuPS
Borna Sosa 🟨
2′
1–0 C. Uche
J. Devenny
5′
Romain Esse 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
50′
P. Parzyszek 1–1
S. Savolainen
53′
I. Cisse 1–2
C. Antwi
T. Mitchell 🔁
↦ B. Sosa
64′
M. Guehi 🔁
↦ J. Lerma
64′
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ D. Benamar
64′
65′
🔁 P. Ricardo
↦ T. Hamalainen
65′
🔁 M. Toure
↦ P. Pennanen
73′
🟥 Clinton Antwi
2–2 J. Devenny
T. Mitchell
76′
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ G. King
77′
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ C. Uche
77′
77′
🔁 P. Konate
↦ P. Parzyszek
Marc Guéhi 🟨
79′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
44 W. Benitez G
60 G. King D
8 J. Lerma D
23 J. Canvot D
24 B. Sosa M
55 J. Devenny M
42 K. Rodney M
72 D. Benamar M
21 R. Esse F
12 C. Uche F
86 J. Drakes-Thomas F
Bench (12)
1 D. Henderson
31 R. Matthews
3 T. Mitchell
5 M. Lacroix
6 M. Guehi
9 E. Nketiah
10 Y. Pino
14 J. Mateta
19 W. Hughes
20 A. Wharton
26 C. Richards
73 B. Casey

Coach: Oliver Glasner

KuPS

5-4-1
1 J. Kreidl G
6 S. Savolainen D
33 T. Hamalainen D
15 I. Cisse D
16 S. Miettinen D
25 C. Antwi D
34 O. Ruoppi M
10 D. Arifi M
13 J. Oksanen M
8 P. Pennanen M
9 P. Parzyszek F
Bench (11)
12 A. Hakala
37 M. Pitkanen
4 P. Ricardo
7 J. Voutilainen
11 A. Sadiku
20 M. Toure
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
22 P. Konate
23 A. Lotjonen
24 B. Armah
35 P. Golubickas

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Frid · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.