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Conference League
Referee: G Kruashvili
AEK
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,41 xG 1,34
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.