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KNVB Beker

Hsc 21

T T S S S

0–9

Full-time

Waalwijk

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hsc 21 Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

5,0

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,3

5,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–6

1,63 xG 4,35

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 15

3 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hsc 21 1. · Waalwijk 40. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hsc 21	3	3	0	0	+8	–	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	–	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
4	Sportlust '46	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
5	SC Genemuiden	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
6	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
7	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
8	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
9	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
10	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
11	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
12	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.4	6
13	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
14	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
15	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	–	6
16	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
17	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
19	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
20	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
21	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
22	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
23	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
24	Roda	2	1	1	0	+4	–	4
25	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
26	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
27	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	–	3
28	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
29	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
30	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
31	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
32	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
33	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
34	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
35	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
36	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
37	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
38	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
39	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
40	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
41	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
42	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
43	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
47	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
49	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
50	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
51	FC OSS	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
52	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
53	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
54	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
55	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
56	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
57	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
58	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
59	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
60	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
61	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
62	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
63	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
64	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
65	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
66	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
67	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
71	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
72	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
73	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
74	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
75	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
76	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
77	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
78	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
79	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
80	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
81	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
82	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
83	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
84	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
85	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
86	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
87	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
88	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
89	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
90	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
91	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
92	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
93	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
94	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
95	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
96	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
97	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
98	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
99	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
100	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
101	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
102	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
103	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
104	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
105	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
106	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
107	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
108	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
109	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
5	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
8	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
9	Sportlust '46	2	1	1	0	+3	–	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
11	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	–	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
15	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
16	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
17	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
18	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
23	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
24	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
25	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
27	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
28	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
29	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
30	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
31	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
37	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
38	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
51	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
56	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
63	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
64	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
65	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
66	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
68	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
3	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
5	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
8	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
9	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
10	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
11	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
12	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
13	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
14	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
15	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
16	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
17	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
18	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
19	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
24	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
25	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
26	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
27	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
28	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
29	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
30	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
31	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
32	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
33	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
34	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
35	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
36	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
37	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
38	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
39	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
40	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
41	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
42	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
52	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
54	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
55	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
64	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
65	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
66	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
69	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
70	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
71	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
72	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
73	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
74	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
75	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.