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Copa del Rey

Referee: R De Burgos

Burgos

T T S T S

3–1

Full-time

Getafe

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

8,0

Scored

1,5

7,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+6,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,52 xG 1,22

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 24. · Getafe 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+11	–	9
2	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+9	–	9
3	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
4	La Coruna	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.6	9
5	Santander	3	3	0	0	+6	–	9
6	Elche	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.3	9
7	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	–	9
8	Cultural Leonesa	3	3	0	0	+5	–	9
9	Albacete	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
10	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
11	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
12	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
13	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.1	6
14	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
15	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.3	6
16	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
17	CF Talavera	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
18	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+3	–	6
19	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.1	6
20	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
21	Eldense	3	2	0	1	+2	–	6
22	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
23	Atlético Baleares	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
24	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
25	Levante	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
26	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
27	Guadalajara	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.0	6
28	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	–	6
29	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
30	Villarreal	3	1	1	1	+5	–	4
31	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	–	4
32	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
33	Sant Andreu	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
34	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
35	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
36	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	–	4
37	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	–	4
38	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	–	4
39	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.1	3
40	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
41	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
42	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
43	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
44	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
47	Extremadura 1924	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.1	3
48	Zaragoza	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
49	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
50	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
51	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
52	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
53	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	–	3
54	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
55	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
56	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
57	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
58	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
59	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
60	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
61	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
62	Sabadell	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
63	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
64	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
65	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	–	3
66	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
67	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
68	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
69	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
70	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
71	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
72	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
73	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
74	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
75	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
76	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
77	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
78	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
79	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
80	Ferrol	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
81	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
82	Pontevedra	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
83	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	–	1
84	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
85	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
86	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
87	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
88	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
89	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
90	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
91	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
92	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
93	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
94	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
95	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
96	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
97	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
98	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
99	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
100	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
101	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
102	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
103	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
104	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
105	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
106	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
107	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
108	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
109	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
110	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
111	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
112	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
113	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0
114	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
115	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
116	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
117	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
118	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
119	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
120	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
121	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
122	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
123	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	–	0
124	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0
125	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ourense CF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
2	Cultural Leonesa	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
3	Atlético Baleares	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
4	Guadalajara	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.0	6
5	Real Murcia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
6	Sant Andreu	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
7	Antoniano	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
8	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
9	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
10	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
11	Extremadura 1924	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.1	3
12	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
13	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
15	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
16	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
17	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
18	Navalcarnero	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
19	CF Talavera	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
20	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
21	Real Ávila	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
22	Cieza	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
23	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
24	Torrent	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
25	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
26	Portugalete	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
27	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
28	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	–	3
29	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
30	Albacete	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
31	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
32	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
37	Quintanar del Rey	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
38	Ebro	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
39	Reddis	2	0	1	1	-2	–	1
40	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	–	1
41	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	–	1
42	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
47	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
52	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Tenerife	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
54	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
55	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
64	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
67	Sp Gijon	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
68	Sabadell	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
69	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
70	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
73	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
74	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
75	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
76	Pontevedra	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
77	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
78	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
79	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
80	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
81	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
82	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
83	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
84	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
85	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+9	–	9
2	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
3	Elche	3	3	0	0	+6	-0.3	9
4	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	–	9
5	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+12	–	6
6	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+10	–	6
7	Betis	2	2	0	0	+9	–	6
8	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+6	-0.4	6
9	La Coruna	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
10	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
11	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.1	6
12	Santander	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
13	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
14	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
15	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.1	6
16	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
17	Mallorca	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
18	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
19	Levante	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
20	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
21	Villarreal	3	1	1	1	+5	–	4
22	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
23	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
24	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
26	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
27	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
28	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
29	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
30	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
31	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
32	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
33	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
34	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
35	Cadiz	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
36	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
37	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
38	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
39	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
40	Ceuta	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
41	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
42	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
43	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
44	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
45	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
46	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
48	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
49	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
50	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
51	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
52	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
53	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
54	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
55	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
56	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
57	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
58	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
60	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
61	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
62	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
63	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
64	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
65	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
66	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
67	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
68	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
69	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
70	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
71	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
72	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
73	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
74	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
75	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
76	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
77	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
78	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
79	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.