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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
Villarreal
T S S T S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Conference League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
67%
30%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
4,0
1,9
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

78% Possession 22%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 0
2 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half-time 0–1
48′
T. Hemed 0–1
54′
🟨 Miguel Vítor
1–1 S. Chukwueze
Alberto Moreno
57′
61′
🔁 R. Hatuel
↦ T. Yosefi
61′
🔁 M. Suleymanov
↦ T. Hemed
63′
🟨 Sagiv Yehezkel
J. Mojica 🔁
↦ Alberto Moreno
65′
José Luis Morales 🔁
↦ Yeremy Pino
65′
Alejandro Baena 🟨
66′
2–1 A. Danjuma
70′
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ Álex Baena
71′
Dani Parejo 🔁
↦ Manu Morlanes
71′
72′
🔁 A. Selmani
↦ E. Ansah
72′
🔁 R. Safouri
↦ D. Micha
73′
🟨 Hélder Lopes
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ A. Danjuma
78′
79′
S. Yehezkel 2–2
82′
🔁 R. Maman
↦ S. Yehezkel
93′
🟨 Shai Elias
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Pepe Reina G
2 Kiko Femenía D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jorge Cuenca D
18 Alberto Moreno D
11 S. Chukwueze M
14 Manu Trigueros M
20 Manu Morlanes M
16 Álex Baena M
21 Yeremy Pino F
9 A. Danjuma F
Bench (9)
12 J. Mojica
22 José Luis Morales
17 G. Lo Celso
10 Dani Parejo
15 N. Jackson
19 F. Coquelin
37 Dela
31 Iker Álvarez
13 G. Rulli

Coach: Quique Setién

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-4-2
55 O. Glazer G
11 S. Yehezkel D
5 E. Abu Abaid D
4 M. Vítor D
22 Hélder Lopes D
15 T. Yosefi M
20 E. Shamir M
19 S. Elias M
10 D. Micha M
13 E. Ansah F
17 T. Hemed F
Bench (10)
77 R. Hatuel
93 M. Suleymanov
21 A. Selmani
7 R. Safouri
16 R. Maman
1 A. Harush
9 I. Shechter
45 K. Zaid
41 L. Abitbul
36 N. Eliasi

Coach: E. Barda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.