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Allsvenskan
Referee: Oscar Johnson
Malmo FF
T S T S S
0–0
Full-time
AIK
T S S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 49%
47%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
67%
Both score Ø 65%
63%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 0,61
61% Possession 39%
20 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 7. · AIK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 +21 +10.6 45
2 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 +26 +20.8 37
3 Djurgarden 19 11 2 6 +24 +5.8 35
4 Hacken 20 8 8 4 +4 +9.1 32
5 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 +7 +0.2 31
6 AIK 18 9 4 5 +1 -13.2 31
7 Malmo FF 19 9 2 8 +3 +3.1 29
8 Vasteras SK 20 8 5 7 -6 -1.3 29
9 GAIS 20 7 6 7 +7 +4.6 27
10 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 -3 -6.3 27
11 Goteborg 19 6 5 8 -15 +1.1 23
12 Mjallby 18 5 5 8 -5 +1.7 20
13 Kalmar 19 5 4 10 -8 -0.6 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 -12 -10.4 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 -20 -11.2 15
16 Halmstad 20 2 5 13 -24 -13.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF AIK
45′
🔁 Amel Mujanić
↦ Sixten Gustafsson
Half-time 0–0
62′
🟨 Mads Thychosen
Sead Hakšabanović 🟨
62′
Mayckel Lahdo 🔁
↦ Daniel Gudjohnsen
65′
Jovan Milosavljević 🔁
↦ Theodor Lundbergh
65′
71′
🔁 Lucas Assadi
↦ Yannick Emilio Geiger
71′
🔁 Eskil Smidesang Edh
↦ Mads Thychosen
86′
🔁 linus jareteg
↦ Linus Carlstrand
Isaac Assibu 🔁
↦ kenan busuladzic
86′
Noah Åstrand John 🔁
↦ Busanello
86′
88′
🟨 Amel Mujanić
Viggo Jeppsson 🔁
↦ Otto Rosengren
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-3
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 A. Đurić D
25 Busanello D
7 O. Rosengren M
37 A. Skogmar M
47 Theodor Lundbergh M
40 K. Busuladžić F
32 D. Guðjohnsen F
29 S. Hakšabanović F
Bench (9)
39 Isaac Assibu
27 J. Dahlin
6 Y. Karabelyov
4 B. Kurtulus
15 Mayckel Lahdo
28 J. Milosavljević
44 M. Pålsson
23 N. Åstrand John
42 V. Jeppsson

Coach: G. Helstrup

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
34 W. Olofsson D
3 H. Matthys D
5 L. Bergquist D
46 Yannick Geiger M
8 J. Hove M
18 A. Ali M
48 A. Kouame M
16 Sixten Gustafsson F
9 L. Carlstrand F
Bench (9)
49 O. Pukelis
30 K. Joelsson
28 L. Järeteg
20 S. Hausner
2 E. Edh
7 A. Mujanić
47 L. Camara
10 L. Assadi
42 Muslim Sultygov

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
4,10
B
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,17
U1,5 ✓
4,89
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,37
O3,5
2,35
U3,5 ✓
1,54
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,56
BLS nei ✓
2,32

Referee

Oscar Johnson · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.