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Allsvenskan

Referee: Joakim Ostling

Malmo FF

U T S T S

0–3

Full-time

Djurgarden

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Djurgarden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 49%

47%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

71%

63%

Both score Ø 61%

71%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,9

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 7. · Djurgarden 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	18	13	3	2	+21	+10.6	42
2	Hammarby	18	11	3	4	+27	+18.4	36
3	Hacken	18	8	7	3	+6	+9.2	31
4	Elfsborg	18	7	7	4	+6	-1.1	28
5	AIK	17	8	4	5	+0	-10.9	28
6	Djurgarden	16	8	2	6	+15	+5.8	26
7	Malmo FF	17	8	2	7	+5	+3.1	26
8	Vasteras SK	18	7	5	6	-7	-1.4	26
9	Brommapojkarna	18	6	6	6	+0	-4.5	24
10	GAIS	18	6	5	7	+3	+2.7	23
11	Mjallby	16	5	5	6	+1	+1.7	20
12	Goteborg	18	5	5	8	-16	+0.0	20
13	Kalmar	18	5	4	9	-7	-1.2	19
14	Degerfors	18	4	4	10	-12	-9.2	16
15	Orgryte	18	3	5	10	-19	-10.2	14
16	Halmstad	18	1	5	12	-23	-13.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+26	+12.0	25
2	Sirius	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.2	20
3	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+3	-2.5	17
4	Hacken	9	4	4	1	+2	+6.5	16
5	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
6	Elfsborg	9	4	3	2	+5	-1.5	15
7	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+11	+3.8	13
8	Vasteras SK	9	3	4	2	+3	+1.4	13
9	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.8	12
10	Goteborg	9	3	3	3	+0	+4.2	12
11	Mjallby	8	3	1	4	+1	+2.6	10
12	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
13	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
14	Orgryte	9	1	5	3	-2	-0.9	8
15	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.7	8
16	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-11	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	7	1	1	+12	+4.5	22
2	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
3	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.5	17
4	Hacken	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.7	15
5	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.1	13
6	Elfsborg	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.4	13
7	Vasteras SK	9	4	1	4	-10	-2.8	13
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Hammarby	8	3	2	3	+1	+6.4	11
10	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
11	GAIS	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.1	8
12	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-7	-3.5	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	9	2	0	7	-17	-9.3	6
15	Halmstad	9	0	3	6	-12	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	9	0	2	7	-10	+1.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.