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Süper Lig
Referee: Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy
Rizespor
T U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
21 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 9. · Alanyaspor 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 4 3 1 0 +6 +7.3 10
2 Besiktas 4 3 0 1 +5 +4.8 9
3 Kocaelispor 4 3 0 1 +2 -1.1 9
4 Trabzonspor 4 2 1 1 +5 -0.1 7
5 Amedspor 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.4 7
6 Genclerbirligi 4 2 1 1 -3 -4.5 7
7 Fenerbahce 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.9 6
8 Kasimpasa 4 1 3 0 +1 +1.1 6
9 Rizespor 3 2 0 1 +0 +2.8 6
10 Buyuksehyr 4 1 1 2 +0 +0.2 4
11 Alanyaspor 3 1 1 1 +0 -1.0 4
12 Gaziantep 3 1 1 1 +0 +0.3 4
13 Samsunspor 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.4 4
14 Corum 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.9 4
15 Erzurumspor 4 1 1 2 -6 -4.1 4
16 Eyüpspor 4 1 0 3 -4 -2.9 3
17 Goztep 3 0 1 2 -2 -3.0 1
18 Konyaspor 4 0 0 4 -5 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Alanyaspor
Attila Mocsi 🟨
31′
40′
🔁 Y. Ozdemir
↦ I. Hagi
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 M. Elia
↦ P. Fernandes
57′
🔁 O. Ben Ali
↦ A. Usluoglu
V. Mihaila 🔁
↦ E. Bulut
64′
70′
Z. Ariss 1–0
own goal
D. Varesanovic 🔁
↦ Q. Laci
75′
I. Doicaru 🔁
↦ T. Antalyali
75′
80′
🔁 B. Ozyurt
↦ F. Aksoy
80′
🔁 Hwang Ui-Jo
↦ Ruan
S. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ A. Mocsi
82′
A. Mebude 🔁
↦ Z. Ariss
82′
87′
🟨 Meschak Elia
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-1-4-1
75 Y. Fofana G
54 M. Pala D
4 A. Mocsi D
93 M. Sagnan D
17 Z. Ariss D
14 T. Antalyali M
23 A. Kutucu M
10 I. Olawoyin M
20 Q. Laci M
99 E. Bulut M
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
30 Z. Gorgen
5 T. T. Sanuc
37 T. Sahin
21 S. Bakayoko
19 U. Erdem
6 M. Diakite
8 D. Varesanovic
11 A. Mebude
79 I. Doicaru
7 V. Mihaila

Coach: Recep Ucar

Alanyaspor

3-4-3
48 Paulo Victor G
3 N. Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
20 F. Aksoy D
94 F. Hadergjonaj M
42 G. Makouta M
55 B. Gezek M
11 Ruan M
22 P. Fernandes F
17 A. Usluoglu F
10 I. Hagi F
Bench (10)
23 M. Bayram
4 B. Ozyurt
16 Hwang Ui-Jo
8 E. Keskin
7 I. Kaya
26 I. Celik
88 Y. Ozdemir
19 Bikoue
12 M. Elia
9 O. Ben Ali

Coach: Joao Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
U
3,36
B ✓
3,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.