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Allsvenskan

Referee: Granit Maqedonci

Sirius

S U T T S

0–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 58%

72%

44%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

83%

72%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,1

3,4

Scored

2,6

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,72 xG 1,77

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Malmo FF 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	18	13	3	2	+21	+10.6	42
2	Hammarby	19	11	3	5	+26	+20.8	36
3	Elfsborg	19	8	7	4	+8	+0.2	31
4	Hacken	19	8	7	4	+4	+9.1	31
5	AIK	18	9	4	5	+1	-13.2	31
6	Djurgarden	17	9	2	6	+18	+5.8	29
7	Vasteras SK	19	8	5	6	-5	-1.3	29
8	Malmo FF	18	8	2	8	+2	+3.1	26
9	Brommapojkarna	18	6	6	6	+0	-4.5	24
10	GAIS	18	6	5	7	+3	+2.7	23
11	Goteborg	19	6	5	8	-15	+1.1	23
12	Mjallby	16	5	5	6	+1	+1.7	20
13	Kalmar	19	5	4	10	-8	-0.6	19
14	Degerfors	19	4	4	11	-14	-10.4	16
15	Orgryte	19	3	5	11	-20	-11.2	14
16	Halmstad	19	2	5	12	-22	-13.9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+26	+12.0	25
2	Sirius	9	6	2	1	+9	+6.2	20
3	Elfsborg	10	5	3	2	+7	-0.2	18
4	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+3	-2.5	17
5	Hacken	10	4	4	2	+0	+6.4	16
6	GAIS	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
7	Goteborg	10	4	3	3	+1	+5.3	15
8	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+11	+3.8	13
9	Vasteras SK	9	3	4	2	+3	+1.4	13
10	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.8	12
11	AIK	8	4	0	4	-4	-3.8	12
12	Mjallby	8	3	1	4	+1	+2.6	10
13	Malmo FF	9	3	0	6	+1	+4.6	9
14	Orgryte	9	1	5	3	-2	-0.9	8
15	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.7	8
16	Halmstad	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.4	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	7	1	1	+12	+4.5	22
2	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
3	Malmo FF	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.5	17
4	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+7	+2.1	16
5	Vasteras SK	10	5	1	4	-8	-2.7	16
6	Hacken	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.7	15
7	Elfsborg	9	3	4	2	+1	+0.4	13
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Hammarby	9	3	2	4	+0	+8.7	11
10	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
11	GAIS	9	2	2	5	-5	+0.1	8
12	Degerfors	10	2	2	6	-9	-4.7	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	10	2	0	8	-18	-10.3	6
15	Halmstad	9	0	3	6	-12	-7.5	3
16	Kalmar	10	0	2	8	-11	+1.9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.