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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Rakow
T S U S S
4–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 48%
72%
24%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
48%
59%
Both score Ø 40%
38%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rakow 1. · Lechia Gdansk 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 29 21 5 3 +37 68
2 Legia 30 17 9 4 +16 60
3 Pogon Szczecin 29 14 8 7 +6 50
4 Lech Poznan 29 13 10 6 +13 49
5 Warta Poznan 29 12 8 9 +8 44
6 Piast Gliwice 29 12 6 11 +4 42
7 Cracovia 29 11 8 10 +7 41
8 Widzew Lodz 29 10 8 11 -2 38
9 Jagiellonia 29 8 12 9 +3 36
10 Wisla Plock 30 10 6 14 -3 36
11 Gornik Zabrze 29 9 8 12 -3 35
12 Stal Mielec 29 9 8 12 -4 35
13 Radomiak Radom 29 9 8 12 -6 35
14 Korona Kielce 29 9 8 12 -8 35
15 Zaglebie 29 8 8 13 -16 32
16 Slask Wroclaw 29 7 10 12 -14 31
17 Lechia Gdansk 29 7 5 17 -20 26
18 Legnica 29 4 9 16 -18 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Lechia Gdansk
11′
🟨 Jarosław Kubicki
26′
🟨 Jakub Bartkowski
27′
🟨 Maciej Gajos
B. Lederman 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
30′
Stratos Svarnas 🟨
32′
Bogdan Racovitan 🟨
35′
1–0 F. Piasecki
B. Racovițan
45′
Half-time 1–0
V. Gutkovskis 🔁
↦ F. Piasecki
65′
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ M. Wdowiak
65′
68′
🔁 L. Zwoliński
↦ Flávio Paixão
68′
🔁 R. Pietrzak
↦ J. Abu Hanna
68′
🔁 J. de Kamps
↦ M. Terrazzino
2–0 V. Kochergin
F. Tudor
75′
W. Długosz 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
78′
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
78′
3–0 G. Papanikolaou
V. Gutkovskis
81′
82′
🔁 D. Piła
↦ M. Gajos
82′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ B. Diabaté
4–0 V. Gutkovskis
W. Długosz
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-2-1
12 K. Trelowski G
25 B. Racovițan D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
30 V. Kochergin M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
20 Jean Carlos M
17 M. Wdowiak F
27 B. Nowak F
99 F. Piasecki F
Bench (8)
8 B. Lederman
21 V. Gutkovskis
5 G. Berggren
71 W. Długosz
77 M. Cebula
1 V. Kovačević
55 S. Czyż
11 Ivi López

Coach: M. Papszun

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Buchalik G
5 J. Bartkowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
4 K. Tobers D
97 J. Abu Hanna D
88 J. Kałuziński M
6 J. Kubicki M
10 B. Diabaté M
7 M. Gajos M
33 M. Terrazzino M
28 Flávio Paixão F
Bench (9)
9 L. Zwoliński
2 R. Pietrzak
8 J. de Kamps
11 D. Piła
79 K. Sezonienko
75 B. Kałduński
26 B. Brzęk
99 İ. Durmuş
30 K. Friesenbichler

Coach: David Badia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.