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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Arys

Lech Poznan

S S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 47%

62%

31%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

54%

35%

Both score Ø 48%

46%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 1,47

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 3. · Korona Kielce 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	26	16	7	3	+23	+11.4	55
2	Jagiellonia	26	15	6	5	+16	+2.5	51
3	Lech Poznan	26	16	2	8	+24	+9.1	50
4	Pogon Szczecin	26	13	5	8	+13	+10.6	44
5	Cracovia	27	11	9	7	+7	-3.8	42
6	Legia	26	11	8	7	+13	+9.9	41
7	Gornik Zabrze	26	12	4	10	+6	+5.2	40
8	Motor Lublin	27	11	7	9	-6	+0.1	40
9	GKS Katowice	26	10	6	10	+3	+1.4	36
10	Widzew Lodz	27	10	6	11	-7	-4.0	36
11	Radomiak Radom	27	10	4	13	-4	-0.0	34
12	Piast Gliwice	26	8	9	9	-2	-2.5	33
13	Korona Kielce	26	8	9	9	-9	-1.3	33
14	Zaglebie	27	7	5	15	-18	-7.5	26
15	Puszcza	26	6	7	13	-13	-13.7	25
16	Stal Mielec	27	6	6	15	-15	+0.3	24
17	Lechia Gdansk	27	6	6	15	-19	-16.5	24
18	Slask Wroclaw	27	4	10	13	-12	-1.3	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	11	0	2	+23	+8.3	33
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	10	1	2	+14	+11.9	31
3	Jagiellonia	13	9	3	1	+16	+4.3	30
4	Legia	13	8	3	2	+15	+8.6	27
5	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.0	24
6	Gornik Zabrze	13	7	2	4	+8	+6.1	23
7	Widzew Lodz	14	7	2	5	+0	+0.1	23
8	GKS Katowice	13	6	4	3	+6	-3.1	22
9	Motor Lublin	13	6	4	3	+4	+0.9	22
10	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	+4	+3.7	19
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-1	+5.2	19
12	Cracovia	14	4	6	4	+2	-0.7	18
13	Korona Kielce	13	5	2	6	-3	+3.9	17
14	Puszcza	12	4	4	4	-1	-1.8	16
15	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	6	5	-1	-0.7	15
16	Piast Gliwice	13	3	6	4	-3	-0.4	15
17	Zaglebie	13	4	2	7	-6	-3.8	14
18	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	13	9	4	0	+14	+5.5	31
2	Cracovia	13	7	3	3	+5	-3.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	13	6	3	4	+0	-1.8	21
4	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	-2.0	18
5	Motor Lublin	14	5	3	6	-10	-0.9	18
6	Lech Poznan	13	5	2	6	+1	+0.7	17
7	Gornik Zabrze	13	5	2	6	-2	-0.8	17
8	Korona Kielce	13	3	7	3	-6	-5.2	16
9	Radomiak Radom	13	5	0	8	-8	-3.7	15
10	Legia	13	3	5	5	-2	+1.3	14
11	GKS Katowice	13	4	2	7	-3	+4.5	14
12	Pogon Szczecin	13	3	4	6	-1	-1.3	13
13	Widzew Lodz	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.0	13
14	Zaglebie	14	3	3	8	-12	-3.8	12
15	Lechia Gdansk	14	2	4	8	-11	-7.8	10
16	Puszcza	14	2	3	9	-12	-11.9	9
17	Slask Wroclaw	13	1	4	8	-11	-0.7	7
18	Stal Mielec	13	1	2	10	-14	-4.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.