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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Juve Stabia
T T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Salernitana
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Salernitana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
39%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
55%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juve Stabia 6. · Salernitana 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 31 22 6 3 +39 72
2 Pisa 32 18 7 7 +21 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 +22 55
4 Cremonese 32 14 10 8 +16 52
5 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 +8 46
6 Juve Stabia 31 12 10 9 +1 46
7 Cesena 32 11 10 11 +1 43
8 Palermo 31 11 9 11 +6 42
9 Modena 32 9 14 9 +2 41
10 Bari 31 8 16 7 +3 40
11 Carrarese 32 9 10 13 -9 37
12 Frosinone 32 8 13 11 -11 37
13 Mantova 32 8 12 12 -9 36
14 Cittadella 32 9 9 14 -20 36
15 Sudtirol 32 9 8 15 -10 35
16 Brescia 32 7 13 12 -7 34
17 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 -10 32
18 Reggiana 32 7 11 14 -11 32
19 Salernitana 31 7 9 15 -13 30
20 Cosenza 32 6 12 14 -19 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Salernitana
28′
🟨 Lilian Njoh
Davide Buglio 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 Lilian Njoh
44′
🟥 Lilian Njoh
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Corazza
↦ D. Verde
47′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
1–0 N. Fortini
K. Piscopo
53′
66′
🔁 P. Ghiglione
↦ P. Stojanović
M. Meli 🔁
↦ K. Piscopo
70′
A. Louati 🔁
↦ G. Leone
71′
76′
ℹ️ Gian Marco Ferrari
VAR: Goal cancelled
Alessandro Louati 🟥
78′
84′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ F. Ruggeri
Y. Rocchetti 🔁
↦ N. Fortini
85′
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
85′
M. Varnier 🔁
↦ D. Buglio
89′
89′
🔁 J. Guasone
↦ F. Tongya
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
8 D. Buglio M
29 N. Fortini M
11 K. Piscopo F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
14 M. Meli
80 A. Louati
3 Y. Rocchetti
37 F. Maistro
24 M. Varnier
13 M. Baldi
7 E. Dubickas
1 K. Matošević
98 N. Mosti
25 A. Gerbo
2 D. Quaranta
18 L. Sgarbi

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Salernitana

3-4-2-1
53 O. Christensen G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
30 P. Stojanović M
98 F. Zuccon M
7 F. Tongya M
17 L. Njoh M
31 D. Verde F
21 R. Soriano F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
16 T. Corazza
29 P. Ghiglione
99 A. Raimondo
27 J. Guasone
70 A. Tello
8 A. Hrustić
55 L. Sepe
72 S. Girelli
43 G. Fusco
18 F. Caligara
12 F. Corriere
41 F. Nunziata

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,37
U
3,06
B
3,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.