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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Korona Kielce

S U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Puszcza

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 26%

30%

22%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

30%

Both score Ø 41%

43%

39%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,49 xG 1,41

55% Possession 45%

23 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 11. · Puszcza 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	23	15	2	6	+25	+9.9	47
2	Rakow	23	13	7	3	+17	+11.6	46
3	Jagiellonia	23	13	6	4	+15	+2.6	45
4	Legia	23	11	6	6	+14	+10.2	39
5	Pogon Szczecin	23	12	3	8	+10	+9.1	39
6	Cracovia	23	10	8	5	+9	-3.3	38
7	Motor Lublin	23	10	5	8	-5	-2.7	35
8	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	+2	+4.0	34
9	Piast Gliwice	23	8	9	6	+4	-1.7	33
10	GKS Katowice	23	8	6	9	+2	+2.1	30
11	Korona Kielce	23	7	8	8	-8	-4.7	29
12	Widzew Lodz	23	7	6	10	-11	-4.5	27
13	Radomiak Radom	23	7	4	12	-7	+0.7	25
14	Stal Mielec	23	6	5	12	-7	+3.9	23
15	Puszcza	23	5	7	11	-11	-11.6	22
16	Zaglebie	23	6	4	13	-16	-6.1	22
17	Lechia Gdansk	23	5	6	12	-16	-15.3	21
18	Slask Wroclaw	23	2	8	13	-17	-4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	12	10	0	2	+21	+8.3	30
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	9	1	2	+11	+10.1	28
3	Jagiellonia	12	8	3	1	+15	+4.4	27
4	Legia	12	8	2	2	+15	+8.2	26
5	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+8	+6.9	21
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	6	2	4	+4	+6.1	20
7	Stal Mielec	12	5	3	4	+2	+8.0	18
8	Motor Lublin	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.5	18
9	Widzew Lodz	11	5	2	4	-2	-0.6	17
10	Radomiak Radom	12	4	4	4	+4	+4.3	16
11	GKS Katowice	11	4	4	3	+4	-1.8	16
12	Piast Gliwice	11	3	6	2	+2	-0.6	15
13	Cracovia	12	3	6	3	+1	-1.7	15
14	Korona Kielce	11	4	2	5	-2	+1.7	14
15	Puszcza	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.7	13
16	Zaglebie	11	4	1	6	-4	-1.8	13
17	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	2	6	-8	-8.8	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	11	2	4	5	-3	-1.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	11	7	4	0	+9	+4.7	25
2	Cracovia	11	7	2	2	+8	-1.7	23
3	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+2	-1.0	18
4	Jagiellonia	11	5	3	3	+0	-1.8	18
5	Lech Poznan	11	5	2	4	+4	+1.6	17
6	Motor Lublin	12	5	2	5	-6	-1.2	17
7	Korona Kielce	12	3	6	3	-6	-6.4	15
8	GKS Katowice	12	4	2	6	-2	+3.9	14
9	Gornik Zabrze	11	4	2	5	-2	-2.1	14
10	Legia	11	3	4	4	-1	+2.0	13
11	Pogon Szczecin	11	3	2	6	-1	-1.0	11
12	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	4	6	-8	-6.6	10
13	Widzew Lodz	12	2	4	6	-9	-3.9	10
14	Puszcza	12	2	3	7	-9	-8.8	9
15	Radomiak Radom	11	3	0	8	-11	-3.6	9
16	Zaglebie	12	2	3	7	-12	-4.4	9
17	Stal Mielec	11	1	2	8	-9	-4.1	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	12	0	4	8	-14	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.