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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Darmstadt
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,4
3,4
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 14. · Greuther Furth 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 27 15 5 7 +10 50
2 Hamburg 27 13 10 4 +26 49
3 Kaiserslautern 27 13 7 7 +8 46
4 Paderborn 28 12 9 7 +10 45
5 Magdeburg 27 11 10 6 +12 43
6 Hannover 28 11 10 7 +7 43
7 Elversberg 27 11 8 8 +13 41
8 Nurnberg 27 12 5 10 +6 41
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 11 8 8 +3 41
10 Karlsruhe 28 11 7 10 -3 40
11 Schalke 04 27 9 7 11 -3 34
12 Greuther Furth 27 9 7 11 -11 34
13 Hertha 27 9 5 13 -3 32
14 Darmstadt 27 8 7 12 +1 31
15 Preußen Münster 27 6 9 12 -7 27
16 Braunschweig 28 6 9 13 -24 27
17 Ulm 27 4 11 12 -6 23
18 Regensburg 27 5 4 18 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Greuther Furth
Half-time 0–0
Guille Bueno 🔁
↦ M. Papela
46′
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
62′
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ P. Förster
74′
76′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ D. Srbeny
1–0 I. Lidberg
J. Boëtius
79′
84′
🔁 Nemanja Motika
↦ S. Asta
84′
🔁 J. Mause
↦ N. Futkeu
85′
🟨 Noah Loosli
M. Maglica 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
88′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ Sergio López
88′
92′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ N. Loosli
92′
🔁 N. Gießelmann
↦ M. John
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
15 F. Nürnberger D
21 M. Papela M
16 A. Müller M
18 P. Förster M
9 F. Hornby M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
3 Guille Bueno
8 L. Marseiler
10 J. Boëtius
5 M. Maglica
13 M. Thiede
30 A. Brunst
11 T. Kempe
14 M. Drešković
19 F. Lakenmacher

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Greuther Furth

3-4-2-1
44 N. Noll G
25 N. Loosli D
15 J. Quarshie D
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
33 M. Dietz M
14 J. Consbruch M
24 M. John M
30 F. Klaus F
9 N. Futkeu F
7 D. Srbeny F
Bench (9)
11 R. Massimo
22 Nemanja Motika
28 J. Mause
23 G. Jung
17 N. Gießelmann
36 P. Müller
31 L. Grill
35 J. Engel
5 R. Münz

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,62
B
4,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.