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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Pérez
Cartagena
T T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Eldense
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 20%
12%
27%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Eldense 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elche 33 17 9 7 +19 60
2 Levante 33 16 11 6 +18 59
3 Santander 33 17 8 8 +15 59
4 Mirandes 33 17 7 9 +16 58
5 Oviedo 34 15 10 9 +6 55
6 Huesca 33 15 9 9 +15 54
7 Almeria 33 14 11 8 +12 53
8 Granada 33 13 10 10 +8 49
9 Albacete 34 12 11 11 +2 47
10 Eibar 34 12 10 12 -1 46
11 Burgos 33 13 7 13 -5 46
12 La Coruna 33 11 12 10 +5 45
13 Cadiz 33 11 12 10 +2 45
14 Cordoba 33 12 9 12 -2 45
15 Castellon 34 11 9 14 -2 42
16 Malaga 33 9 15 9 -2 42
17 Sp Gijon 33 9 14 10 +1 41
18 Zaragoza 33 9 10 14 -4 37
19 Eldense 33 9 9 15 -13 36
20 Tenerife 33 7 7 19 -18 28
21 Ferrol 33 4 11 18 -34 23
22 Cartagena 33 4 5 24 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Eldense
Assane Ndiaye Dione 🟨
5′
14′
ℹ️ Víctor García
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
Juanto Ortuño
penalty missed
Nacho Martínez 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
A. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Nacho Martínez
46′
Andy Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Dani Escriche
46′
48′
Marc Mateu 0–1
R. Núñez 🔁
↦ Jesús Hernández
60′
63′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Juanto
Óscar Clemente 🔁
↦ D. Luna
68′
74′
🔁 David Timor
↦ Nacho Quintana
74′
🔁 Masca
↦ Fede Vico
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
82′
85′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ Sergio Ortuño
85′
🔁 Raúl Parra
↦ Víctor García
Martín Aguirregabiria 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

5-3-2
1 Pablo Cuñat G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
28 Jesús Hernández D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
20 Nacho Martínez D
32 D. Luna M
5 A. Ndiaye M
10 Dani Escriche M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
33 S. El Jebari F
Bench (12)
12 A. Vukčević
17 Andy Rodríguez
38 R. Núñez
11 Óscar Clemente
14 Álex Millán
2 Jorge Moreno
30 J. Dick
21 Julián Delmás
24 N. Šipčić
16 José Machín
40 Toni Fuidias
6 Sergio Guerrero

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Eldense

4-4-2
1 Dani Martín G
15 Fran Gámez D
5 Iñigo Piña D
26 M. Barzić D
23 Marc Mateu D
17 Víctor García M
8 Sergio Ortuño M
12 A. Diawara M
19 Fede Vico M
9 Nacho Quintana F
11 Juanto F
Bench (12)
20 Iván Chapela
24 David Timor
16 Masca
21 Álex Bernal
2 Raúl Parra
4 D. Đumić
6 Víctor Camarasa
25 Diego Collado
7 M. Diouri
22 S. Gassama
14 Nacho Monsalve
36 Álvaro Aceves

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,91
U
3,36
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Pérez · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.