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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Ruch Chorzow
T S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ruch Chorzow Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ruch Chorzow 1. · Korona Kielce 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ruch Chorzow 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Pogon Szczecin 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Olimpia Grudziądz 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Polonia Warszawa 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Korona Kielce 3 2 1 0 +3 7
7 Puszcza 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Jagiellonia 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Legia 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 LKS Lodz 3 2 0 1 +0 6
12 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 2 0 1 -1 6
13 Piast Gliwice 3 1 2 0 +2 5
14 Hutnik Kraków 2 1 1 0 +3 4
15 Slask Wroclaw 2 1 1 0 +3 4
16 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 +2 4
17 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Lechia Zielona Góra 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Polonia Bytom 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Podbeskidzie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Widzew Lodz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
22 Lech Poznań II 3 1 1 1 +0 4
23 Unia Skierniewice 3 1 1 1 -1 4
24 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +4 3
25 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Wigry Suwałki 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Wisla 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Kluczbork 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Radomiak Radom 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Motor Lublin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Rakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Barycz Sułów 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2 0 1 1 -1 1
42 Avia Świdnik 2 0 1 1 -2 1
43 Arka Gdynia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
44 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Unia Swarzędz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Gornik Zabrze 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Podhale Nowy Targ 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Grom Nowy Staw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Star Starachowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ruch Chorzow Korona Kielce
13′
Pedro Nuno
penalty missed
1–0 Y. Tsykalo
13′
Denis Ventura 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Godinho
↦ H. Zwoźny
46′
🔁 Nono
↦ M. Strzeboński
46′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ Pedro Nuno
2–0 Y. Tsykalo
51′
53′
🟨 Miłosz Trojak
60′
🔁 E. Shikavka
↦ B. Smolarczyk
M. Szwoch 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
61′
73′
Martin Remacle
penalty missed
M. Kozak 🔁
↦ B. Barański
74′
Ł. Moneta 🔁
↦ J. Myszor
74′
89′
🔁 S. Nagamatsu
↦ M. Remacle
D. Szczepan 🔁
↦ S. Novothny
91′
F. Borowski 🔁
↦ M. Mezghrani
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ruch Chorzow

4-2-3-1
J. Bielecki G
M. Konczkowski D
S. Szymański D
Y. Tsykalo D
S. Karasiński M
D. Ventúra M
F. Starzyński M
J. Myszor M
B. Barański M
M. Mezghrani M
S. Novothny F
Bench (9)
M. Szwoch
M. Kozak
Ł. Moneta
D. Szczepan
F. Borowski
F. Lachendro
J. Adkonis
M. Turk
W. Łaski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Korona Kielce

3-4-2-1
X. Dziekoński G
M. Trojak D
B. Smolarczyk D
K. Sotiriou D
H. Zwoźny M
M. Strzeboński M
Pedro Nuno M
J. Konstantyn M
M. Fornalczyk M
M. Remacle M
Adrián Dalmau F
Bench (9)
M. Godinho
Nono
W. Długosz
E. Shikavka
S. Nagamatsu
D. Błanik
K. Ciszek
R. Mamla
W. Kamiński

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.