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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Jørgen Haugen
Sogndal
U T S T T
3–4
Full-time
Aalesund
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 14. · Aalesund 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyn 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Start 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Odd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Aalesund 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Lillestrom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Stabaek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 hodd 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Kongsvinger 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Asane 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Moss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Mjondalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -24 Sogndal – Aalesund 0–1 16. May -24 Aalesund – Sogndal 0–2 17. Oct -21 Aalesund – Sogndal 3–0 18. Jun -21 Sogndal – Aalesund 2–0 17. Aug -19 Sogndal – Aalesund 2–3

Match report

Sogndal Aalesund
29′
⚽ D. Bras 1–0
own goal
33′
🟨 J. Kitolano
2–0 M. Hoyland ⚽
35′
3–0 E. Flataker ⚽
O. Hintsa
39′
41′
🔁 S. Haram
↦ J. Kitolano
Half-time 3–0
V. Hagen 🔁
↦ J. Flaten
48′
52′
⚽ C. Braga 3–1
L. Vapne 🟨
53′
O. Borgthorsson 🔁
↦ L. Vapne
61′
67′
🔁 H. Hammer
↦ H. Melland
71′
🔁 F. Heiselberg
↦ P. Ngongo
71′
🔁 J. Boe
↦ M. Andresen
72′
⚽ S. Haram 3–2
M. Hoyland 🟨
73′
E. Mensah 🔁
↦ O. Hintsa
80′
J. Haruna 🔁
↦ M. Oren
80′
R. Onyango 🔁
↦ S. A. Granheim
80′
89′
🟨 C. Braga
4–2 V. Hagen ⚽
90′
90′
⚽ D. Johannsson 4–3
C. Braga
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

21 D. Saetren
2 D. Bras
32 M. Oren
33 S. A. Granheim
17 M. Sjolstad
6 M. Hoyland
16 L. Vapne
10 K. Skaanes
8 J. Flaten
19 E. Flataker
9 O. Hintsa
Bench (9)
1 L. Jendal
11 E. Mensah
14 J. Haruna
18 V. Hagen
22 A. Kalstad
29 K. Steinset
36 M. Aroy
77 O. Borgthorsson
88 R. Onyango

Coach: Luís Berkemeier Pimenta

Aalesund

1 S. Grytebust
5 A. Kjelsen
45 P. Aukland
25 J. Kitolano
2 M. Andresen
11 D. Johannsson
66 J. Seehusen
8 H. Melland
7 K. Nesso
9 P. Ngongo
10 C. Braga
Bench (7)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
4 S. Haram
6 H. Hammer
19 F. Heiselberg
29 J. Boe
39 K. Lonebu

Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.