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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Stal Mielec

U U T U T

1–3

Full-time

Legia

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

52%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,97 xG 2,66

52% Possession 48%

8 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 10. · Legia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	30	16	8	6	+27	+13.2	56
2	Slask Wroclaw	30	14	9	7	+11	+6.0	51
3	Gornik Zabrze	30	15	6	9	+10	-6.5	51
4	Lech Poznan	29	14	9	6	+9	-5.7	51
5	Rakow	30	13	10	7	+19	+20.4	49
6	Pogon Szczecin	30	14	6	10	+20	+13.4	48
7	Legia	29	12	11	6	+10	+7.7	47
8	Widzew Lodz	30	12	6	12	+0	-3.2	42
9	Piast Gliwice	30	8	14	8	+0	+13.2	38
10	Stal Mielec	29	10	8	11	-4	-10.2	38
11	Zaglebie	30	10	8	12	-11	+3.0	38
12	Radomiak Radom	30	9	8	13	-14	-4.4	35
13	Warta Poznan	30	8	10	12	-6	-9.1	34
14	Cracovia	29	6	14	9	-2	-1.5	32
15	Puszcza	29	7	11	11	-11	-15.7	32
16	Korona Kielce	29	6	12	11	-4	+0.2	30
17	Ruch Chorzow	30	3	14	13	-18	-6.0	23
18	LKS Lodz	30	5	6	19	-36	-14.9	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	15	10	3	2	+24	+13.9	33
2	Rakow	15	9	5	1	+22	+13.4	32
3	Lech Poznan	14	9	3	2	+15	+1.5	30
4	Gornik Zabrze	15	9	3	3	+9	-3.7	30
5	Legia	15	7	6	2	+11	+8.6	27
6	Widzew Lodz	15	9	0	6	+2	+3.7	27
7	Stal Mielec	14	7	5	2	+9	+0.6	26
8	Slask Wroclaw	15	7	4	4	+7	+9.3	25
9	Piast Gliwice	15	6	6	3	+6	+12.2	24
10	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	2	6	+8	+14.6	23
11	Korona Kielce	15	5	7	3	+6	+9.0	22
12	Puszcza	14	5	7	2	+1	-3.0	22
13	Zaglebie	15	5	5	5	-2	+1.7	20
14	Warta Poznan	15	4	5	6	-1	-2.8	17
15	Radomiak Radom	15	4	5	6	-4	+1.2	17
16	LKS Lodz	15	4	5	6	-10	-9.0	17
17	Cracovia	15	3	7	5	+0	+0.3	16
18	Ruch Chorzow	15	2	7	6	-4	+2.4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	15	7	5	3	+4	-3.3	26
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	4	4	+12	-1.3	25
3	Jagiellonia	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
4	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+1	-2.8	21
5	Lech Poznan	15	5	6	4	-6	-7.2	21
6	Legia	14	5	5	4	-1	-0.9	20
7	Zaglebie	15	5	3	7	-9	+1.3	18
8	Radomiak Radom	15	5	3	7	-10	-5.6	18
9	Rakow	15	4	5	6	-3	+7.0	17
10	Warta Poznan	15	4	5	6	-5	-6.4	17
11	Cracovia	14	3	7	4	-2	-1.8	16
12	Widzew Lodz	15	3	6	6	-2	-6.9	15
13	Piast Gliwice	15	2	8	5	-6	+1.1	14
14	Stal Mielec	15	3	3	9	-13	-10.8	12
15	Puszcza	15	2	4	9	-12	-12.7	10
16	Ruch Chorzow	15	1	7	7	-14	-8.5	10
17	Korona Kielce	14	1	5	8	-10	-8.7	8
18	LKS Lodz	15	1	1	13	-26	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.