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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Waalwijk

U U U T T

2–2

Full-time

Utrecht

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 29%

20%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

52%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 1,51

38% Possession 62%

9 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 16. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	31	27	3	1	+86	+64.1	84
2	Feyenoord	31	23	6	2	+56	+59.0	75
3	Twente	31	19	6	6	+28	+18.0	63
4	AZ Alkmaar	31	17	7	7	+27	+15.8	58
5	Ajax	31	13	10	8	+7	+9.5	49
6	Nijmegen	30	12	10	8	+12	-13.7	46
7	Utrecht	29	11	9	9	+1	-4.3	42
8	Go Ahead Eagles	29	11	8	10	+4	-4.6	41
9	Sparta Rotterdam	30	11	7	12	+2	-6.5	40
10	Heerenveen	31	10	6	15	-14	-6.0	36
11	Zwolle	31	9	8	14	-16	-11.9	35
12	For Sittard	30	9	8	13	-18	+0.7	35
13	Almere City	31	7	12	12	-20	-15.5	33
14	Heracles	31	9	5	17	-24	-21.9	32
15	Excelsior	31	5	11	15	-20	-13.4	26
16	Waalwijk	30	6	6	18	-21	-13.0	24
17	Volendam	30	4	7	19	-44	-32.3	19
18	Vitesse	30	4	5	21	-46	-24.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	14	1	0	+39	+34.0	43
2	Twente	16	13	1	2	+18	+16.2	40
3	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+32	+32.7	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+22	+16.9	32
5	Ajax	16	8	6	2	+15	+11.6	30
6	Nijmegen	15	8	3	4	+11	+2.4	27
7	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	4	5	+11	+5.4	25
8	For Sittard	15	7	4	4	+7	+13.2	25
9	Utrecht	14	6	5	3	+5	+3.1	23
10	Heerenveen	16	6	3	7	-4	+3.9	21
11	Heracles	15	6	3	6	-5	-6.1	21
12	Zwolle	16	5	3	8	-11	+2.9	18
13	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	5	6	-2	+1.9	17
14	Excelsior	15	3	7	5	-2	+2.5	16
15	Waalwijk	15	4	4	7	-5	-1.9	16
16	Almere City	15	3	6	6	-9	-4.9	15
17	Volendam	15	3	2	10	-24	-8.9	11
18	Vitesse	15	1	5	9	-16	-5.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	2	1	+47	+30.1	41
2	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+24	+26.4	39
3	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	5	4	+5	-1.2	26
4	Twente	15	6	5	4	+10	+1.7	23
5	Sparta Rotterdam	15	7	2	6	+4	-8.4	23
6	Nijmegen	15	4	7	4	+1	-16.1	19
7	Utrecht	15	5	4	6	-4	-7.4	19
8	Ajax	15	5	4	6	-8	-2.1	19
9	Almere City	16	4	6	6	-11	-10.6	18
10	Zwolle	15	4	5	6	-5	-14.8	17
11	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	4	5	-7	-10.0	16
12	Heerenveen	15	4	3	8	-10	-9.9	15
13	Heracles	16	3	2	11	-19	-15.7	11
14	Excelsior	16	2	4	10	-18	-15.9	10
15	For Sittard	15	2	4	9	-25	-12.5	10
16	Vitesse	15	3	0	12	-30	-18.5	9
17	Waalwijk	15	2	2	11	-16	-11.2	8
18	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	-23.3	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.