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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Betis
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
38%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,98 xG 1,36
51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 7. · Sevilla 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 33 26 6 1 +49 +31.9 84
2 Girona 33 22 5 6 +29 +13.1 71
3 Barcelona 32 21 7 4 +27 +34.3 70
4 Ath Madrid 33 20 4 9 +23 +19.5 64
5 Ath Bilbao 33 16 10 7 +20 +14.4 58
6 Sociedad 33 13 12 8 +11 +7.4 51
7 Betis 32 12 12 8 +2 -6.1 48
8 Valencia 32 13 8 11 +1 -5.7 47
9 Villarreal 33 12 9 12 -1 -1.5 45
10 Getafe 33 10 13 10 -4 -8.5 43
11 Osasuna 33 11 6 16 -12 -7.5 39
12 Alaves 33 10 8 15 -7 +1.0 38
13 Sevilla 32 9 10 13 -4 -9.0 37
14 Las Palmas 33 10 7 16 -11 -22.7 37
15 Vallecano 33 7 13 13 -15 -4.3 34
16 Mallorca 33 6 14 13 -12 -6.2 32
17 Celta 33 7 10 16 -13 -6.6 31
18 Cadiz 33 4 14 15 -23 -15.2 26
19 Granada 33 4 9 20 -25 -16.1 21
20 Almeria 33 1 11 21 -35 -12.3 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Sevilla
Pablo Fornals 🟨
6′
15′
🔁 Dodi Lukebakio
↦ Isaac Romero
16′
🟨 Youssef En-Nesyri
1–0 Isco
38′
Isco 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Willian José 🔁
↦ Cédric Bakambu
50′
53′
🔁 Kike Salas
↦ Jesús Navas
56′
Kike Salas 1–1
Marcos Acuña
Isco ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
59′
61′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
Nabil Fekir 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
73′
74′
🟨 Suso
81′
🟨 Marcos Acuña
Rodri Sánchez 🔁
↦ Ayoze Pérez
83′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Isco
83′
85′
🔁 Erik Lamela
↦ Dodi Lukebakio
85′
🔁 Juanlu Sánchez
↦ Lucas Ocampos
Johnny 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Kike Salas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Youssouf Sabaly D
6 Germán Pezzella D
28 Chadi Riad D
3 Juan Miranda D
5 Guido Rodríguez M
4 Johnny M
18 Pablo Fornals M
22 Isco M
10 Ayoze Pérez M
11 Cédric Bakambu F
Bench (12)
12 Willian José
8 Nabil Fekir
17 Rodri Sánchez
7 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
1 Claudio Bravo
20 Abner Vinícius
24 Aitor Ruibal
19 Sokratis
21 Marc Roca
27 Sergi Altimira
38 Assane Diao
14 William Carvalho

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Sevilla

4-4-2
13 Ørjan Nyland G
16 Jesús Navas D
22 Loïc Badé D
4 Sergio Ramos D
19 Marcos Acuña D
7 Suso M
24 Boubakary Soumaré M
42 Lucien Agoumé M
5 Lucas Ocampos M
20 Isaac Romero F
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
11 Dodi Lukebakio
2 Kike Salas
26 Juanlu Sánchez
17 Erik Lamela
32 Rafael Romero
31 Alberto Flores
23 Marcão
14 Tanguy Nianzou
8 Joan Jordán
46 Hannibal Mejbri
10 Alejo Véliz
12 Mariano Díaz

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,39
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.