La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +49 | +31.9 | 84 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | +29 | +13.1 | 71 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | +27 | +34.3 | 70 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | +23 | +19.5 | 64 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | +20 | +14.4 | 58 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +11 | +7.4 | 51 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | +2 | -6.1 | 48 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +1 | -5.7 | 47 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | -1 | -1.5 | 45 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | -4 | -8.5 | 43 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | -12 | -7.5 | 39 |
| 12 |
Alaves
|
33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | -7 | +1.0 | 38 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -4 | -9.0 | 37 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | -11 | -22.7 | 37 |
| 15 |
Vallecano
|
33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | -15 | -4.3 | 34 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | -12 | -6.2 | 32 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -13 | -6.6 | 31 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -23 | -15.2 | 26 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -25 | -16.1 | 21 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | -35 | -12.3 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Rui Silva
G
Chadi Riad
D
Juan Miranda
D
Guido Rodríguez
M
Johnny
M
Pablo Fornals
M
Isco
M
Ayoze Pérez
M
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Ørjan Nyland
G
Loïc Badé
D
Suso
M
Lucien Agoumé
M
Isaac Romero
F
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Betis
Betis
Celta
Girona
Betis
Vallecano
Betis
Betis
Villarreal
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 118 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.