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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Gornik Zabrze
S T S U S
1–3
Full-time
Legia
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 7. · Legia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 26 15 6 5 +28 +13.4 51
2 Slask Wroclaw 26 13 8 5 +13 +4.8 47
3 Rakow 26 12 9 5 +20 +19.0 45
4 Lech Poznan 26 12 9 5 +8 -2.8 45
5 Pogon Szczecin 26 13 5 8 +18 +12.6 44
6 Legia 25 11 8 6 +8 +7.8 41
7 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 6 8 +5 -4.6 39
8 Stal Mielec 26 10 7 9 +0 -9.9 37
9 Widzew Lodz 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.9 35
10 Zaglebie 25 9 7 9 -8 +2.8 34
11 Radomiak Radom 26 8 8 10 -9 +0.7 32
12 Piast Gliwice 26 5 14 7 -5 +10.4 29
13 Cracovia 26 5 13 8 -3 -0.9 28
14 Warta Poznan 25 6 9 10 -7 -7.2 27
15 Puszcza 26 5 10 11 -13 -17.3 25
16 Korona Kielce 26 4 12 10 -8 -1.9 24
17 Ruch Chorzow 26 2 13 11 -13 -5.2 19
18 LKS Lodz 26 4 5 17 -33 -17.7 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Legia
42′
T. Pekhart 0–1
J. Elitim
Half-time 0–1
P. Krawczyk 🔁
↦ S. Kozuki
46′
S. Czyż 🔁
↦ Dani Pacheco
46′
53′
🟨 Rafał Augustyniak
Piotr Krawczyk ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
60′
🟨 Radovan Pankov
1–1 L. Ennali
61′
67′
🔁 B. Kapustka
↦ T. Pekhart
68′
B. Kapustka 1–2
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ Ł. Podolski
72′
75′
Josué 1–3
Marc Gual
Lawrence Ennali 🟨
77′
K. Lukoszek 🔁
↦ L. Ennali
81′
84′
🔁 M. Rosołek
↦ Marc Gual
84′
🔁 Q. Zyba
↦ J. Çelhaka
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ A. Kaprálik
86′
92′
🔁 A. Jędrzejczyk
↦ R. Pankov
92′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ R. Morishita
93′
🟨 Steve Kapuadi
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bielica G
27 D. Szala D
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
8 Dani Pacheco M
6 D. Rasak M
7 A. Kaprálik M
10 Ł. Podolski M
11 L. Ennali M
41 S. Kozuki F
Bench (9)
21 P. Krawczyk
55 S. Czyż
16 P. Olkowski
17 K. Lukoszek
9 S. Musiolik
32 M. Szromnik
2 B. Sekulić
25 M. Sipľak
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos

Coach: J. Urban

Legia

3-5-2
30 D. Hładun G
12 R. Pankov D
8 R. Augustyniak D
3 S. Kapuadi D
25 R. Morishita M
21 J. Çelhaka M
27 Josué M
22 J. Elitim M
5 Yuri Ribeiro M
7 T. Pekhart F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
67 B. Kapustka
39 M. Rosołek
11 Q. Zyba
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
33 P. Kun
1 K. Tobiasz
17 Gil Dias
26 F. Rejczyk
4 M. Burch

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.