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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: E Bodding

Mjondalen

U T S U T

5–3

Full-time

Valerenga

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 15. · Valerenga 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kongsvinger	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Egersund	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Bryne	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Levanger	5	2	2	1	+5	8
5	Stabaek	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sogndal	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Moss	5	2	0	3	-3	6
8	Sandnes ULF	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Valerenga	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Ranheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Asane	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Lyn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Raufoss	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Aalesund	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Mjondalen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Start	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kongsvinger	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Moss	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Bryne	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Ranheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sandnes ULF	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Levanger	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Egersund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Asane	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Mjondalen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Lyn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Valerenga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Start	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Raufoss	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Egersund	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Stabaek	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Levanger	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Raufoss	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Bryne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sogndal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Asane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sandnes ULF	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Start	3	0	1	2	-5	1
14	Ranheim	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Moss	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.