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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Lasyk
Legia
S U U T S
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Puchar Polski · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 90%
80%
100%
Points per game
2,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
80%
25%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
2,4
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 4
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 1. · Rakow 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Rakow 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Pogoń Siedlce 5 4 0 1 +5 12
4 Motor Lublin 5 4 0 1 +3 12
5 Kalisz 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Górnik Łęczna 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Radomiak Radom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
8 Slask Wroclaw 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3 2 1 0 +3 7
10 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 1 0 +2 7
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 4 2 1 1 +0 7
12 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +3 6
13 Resovia Rzeszów 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Wisla 3 1 1 1 +4 4
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
20 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Chrobry Głogów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Pogon Szczecin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Rakow
Josué 🟨
7′
Yuri Ribeiro 🟥
7′
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
10′
13′
🟨 Jean Carlos
15′
🟨 Zoran Arsenić
27′
🟨 Vladislavs Gutkovskis
M. Nawrocki 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
43′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ T. Petrášek
Tomáš Pekhart 🟨
59′
M. Rosołek 🔁
↦ T. Pekhart
62′
68′
🔁 B. Nowak
↦ B. Lederman
68′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ V. Gutkovskis
Rafał Augustyniak 🟨
79′
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
80′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
85′
91′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ P. Kun
98′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ Ivi López
M. Baku 🔁
↦ F. Mladenović
106′
P. Sokołowski 🔁
↦ Josué
106′
110′
🟨 Giannis Papanikolaou
Kacper Tobiasz 🟨
115′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Legia

3-4-1-2
K. Tobiasz G
A. Jędrzejczyk D
R. Augustyniak D
Yuri Ribeiro D
P. Wszołek M
B. Slisz M
B. Kapustka M
F. Mladenović M
Josué M
T. Pekhart F
E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
M. Nawrocki
M. Rosołek
J. Çelhaka
M. Baku
P. Sokołowski
Carlitos
D. Hładun
I. Strzałek
L. Rose

Coach: K. Runjaić

Rakow

3-4-2-1
K. Trelowski G
S. Svarnas D
T. Petrášek D
Z. Arsenić D
F. Tudor M
G. Papanikolaou M
B. Lederman M
Jean Carlos M
V. Kochergin M
Ivi López F
V. Gutkovskis F
Bench (9)
P. Kun
B. Nowak
F. Piasecki
W. Długosz
M. Wdowiak
B. Racovițan
G. Berggren
M. Cebula
V. Kovačević

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Lasyk · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.