Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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AIK
Hammarby
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | +18 | 40 |
| 2 |
Hacken
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +14 | 34 |
| 3 |
Elfsborg
|
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | +6 | 34 |
| 4 |
Norrkoping
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | +12 | 32 |
| 5 |
Djurgarden
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |
Sirius
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | +3 | 29 |
| 7 |
Hammarby
|
20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | +2 | 29 |
| 8 |
Varberg
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 26 |
| 9 | Ostersunds | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 |
Mjallby
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Orebro | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -5 | 24 |
| 12 |
Goteborg
|
20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -8 | 20 |
| 13 |
AIK
|
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 |
Helsingborg
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Falkenbergs | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -11 | 16 |
| 16 |
Kalmar
|
20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -13 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Malmo FF
AIK
AIK
Hacken
AIK
Helsingborg
AIK
AIK
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.