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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Randers FC

U U S T T

2–1

Full-time

Midtjylland

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

61%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,09 xG 1,43

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

3 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 5. · Midtjylland 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	23	14	3	6	+13	+4.5	45
2	FC Copenhagen	23	12	8	3	+15	+13.0	44
3	Aarhus	23	10	9	4	+21	+9.8	39
4	Brondby	23	9	9	5	+12	+6.7	36
5	Randers FC	23	9	8	6	+10	+9.4	35
6	Nordsjaelland	23	10	5	8	+1	+7.1	35
7	Silkeborg	23	8	9	6	+8	+4.6	33
8	Viborg	23	8	7	8	+3	-7.0	31
9	Aalborg	23	5	6	12	-22	-19.1	21
10	Sonderjyske	23	5	5	13	-24	-15.0	20
11	Lyngby	23	3	9	11	-12	-5.3	18
12	Vejle	23	4	4	15	-25	-8.8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	12	10	0	2	+9	+4.2	30
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	4	0	+12	+9.8	28
3	Aarhus	12	7	5	0	+18	+8.2	26
4	Nordsjaelland	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.9	25
5	Brondby	11	5	5	1	+8	+4.4	20
6	Viborg	11	6	2	3	+3	-4.5	20
7	Randers FC	11	5	3	3	+7	+7.2	18
8	Silkeborg	11	4	4	3	+2	+1.4	16
9	Sonderjyske	12	3	3	6	-13	-8.4	12
10	Aalborg	12	3	3	6	-13	-9.6	12
11	Lyngby	12	2	5	5	-6	+0.0	11
12	Vejle	11	2	3	6	-10	-0.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	12	4	5	3	+6	+3.2	17
2	Randers FC	12	4	5	3	+3	+2.2	17
3	Brondby	12	4	4	4	+4	+2.3	16
4	FC Copenhagen	11	4	4	3	+3	+3.2	16
5	Midtjylland	11	4	3	4	+4	+0.3	15
6	Aarhus	11	3	4	4	+3	+1.7	13
7	Viborg	12	2	5	5	+0	-2.5	11
8	Nordsjaelland	12	3	1	8	-11	+1.1	10
9	Aalborg	11	2	3	6	-9	-9.5	9
10	Sonderjyske	11	2	2	7	-11	-6.6	8
11	Lyngby	11	1	4	6	-6	-5.4	7
12	Vejle	12	2	1	9	-15	-8.1	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.