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Superligaen
Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen
Aarhus
T S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
21 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 10
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aarhus 5. · Nordsjaelland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Midtjylland 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
2 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.4 6
3 Odense 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.5 4
4 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.7 3
6 Brondby 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
7 Randers FC 2 0 2 0 +0 +2.5 2
8 Lyngby 2 0 1 1 -1 1
9 Hvidovre IF 2 0 1 1 -1 -2.5 1
10 Viborg 2 0 1 1 -3 1
11 Vejle 2 0 0 2 -2 -4.1 0
12 Silkeborg 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Nordsjaelland
Mikael Anderson 🟨
17′
35′
B. Nygren 0–1
M. Diomandé
1–1 N. Poulsen
41′
Nicolai Poulsen 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Nagalo
↦ K. Hansen
51′
I. Osman 1–2
B. Nygren
56′
🟨 Daniel Svensson
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ G. Links
63′
T. Bech 🔁
↦ M. Duelund
63′
67′
🔁 E. Nuamah
↦ B. Nygren
68′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ I. Osman
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ T. Kristensen
77′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ N. Poulsen
77′
79′
🔁 M. Dorgeles
↦ D. Svensson
84′
ℹ️ Jeppe Tverskov
VAR: Penalty confirmed
P. Bjur 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
85′
86′
M. Ingvartsen 1–3
95′
🔁 L. Coulibaly
↦ M. Ingvartsen
99′
🟨 Andreas Hansen
102′
🟨 Ernest Nuamah
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-4-2-1
45 B. Peacock-Farrell G
14 T. Mølgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
23 T. Kristensen D
2 F. Beijmo M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
11 G. Links M
20 M. Duelund F
8 M. Anderson F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
19 E. Kahl
31 T. Bech
15 M. Knudsen
13 J. Serra
21 P. Bjur
27 M. Akoto
1 J. Hansen
29 F. Brandhof
28 A. Daghim

Coach: U. Rösler

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
30 J. Jensen-Abbew D
5 M. Frese D
27 D. Svensson M
6 J. Tverskov M
10 M. Diomandé M
9 B. Nygren F
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
Bench (9)
39 A. Nagalo
37 E. Nuamah
22 O. Antman
29 M. Dorgeles
28 L. Coulibaly
25 C. Eriksson
15 E. Marxen
21 Z. Sertdemir
11 M. Hansen

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Kjærsgaard-Andersen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.