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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Hafezi
hodd
S U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

hodd Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
0,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 13%
25%
0%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,1
0,9
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match hodd 9. · Fredrikstad 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sogndal 8 5 2 1 +4 17
2 Fredrikstad 8 3 5 0 +3 14
3 Ranheim 8 4 2 2 -1 14
4 Start 8 3 4 1 +7 13
5 Moss 8 3 4 1 +2 13
6 Kristiansund 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Kongsvinger 8 4 0 4 +1 12
8 Sandnes ULF 9 2 4 3 +2 10
9 hodd 8 2 4 2 +1 10
10 Bryne 8 2 4 2 -1 10
11 Raufoss 8 2 3 3 +1 9
12 Jerv 8 2 2 4 -2 8
13 Mjondalen 8 2 2 4 -2 8
14 KFUM Oslo 8 1 4 3 -4 7
15 Skeid 8 1 3 4 -8 6
16 Asane 8 0 4 4 -4 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

hodd Fredrikstad
1–0 A. Scriven
30′
Half-time 1–0
S. Skeide 🟨
46′
58′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ S. Molde
59′
🔁 N. Williams
↦ H. Åsheim
59′
🔁 B. Hendriksson
↦ J. Magnússon
68′
🔁 A. Konte
↦ L. Lima
H. Urnes 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 P. Aukland
↦ T. Björkström
R. Hjelmeseth 🔁
↦ I. Skotheim
81′
K. Tøsse 🔁
↦ A. Scriven
81′
Bernardo Morgado 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
81′
S. Økland 🔁
↦ S. Skeide
85′
B. Morgado 🟨
91′
93′
S. Sundnes 2–0
own goal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

hodd

1 O. Alme
4 P. Nersveen
24 E. Larsen
77 M. Alm
6 T. Lillo
32 S. Sundnes
11 T. Kallevåg
10 I. Skotheim
14 H. Urnes
20 S. Skeide
9 A. Scriven
Bench (9)
7 R. Hjelmeseth
17 K. Tøsse
18 Bernardo Morgado
8 S. Økland
19 M. Mulac
22 D. Brandal
23 F. Gjerde
25 M. Andersen
29 M. Håheim-Elveseter

Coach: J. Dragsten

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
2 T. Björkström
5 S. Rafn
4 S. Molde
3 B. Skaret
20 H. Åsheim
14 J. Bjartalíð
19 J. Magnússon
12 P. Metcalfe
9 H. Johansen
10 L. Lima
Bench (7)
18 L. Begby
24 N. Williams
27 B. Hendriksson
16 A. Konte
6 P. Aukland
23 M. Maden
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: M. Thomassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.