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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
Ad. Demirspor
S S S S S
1–4
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
5,0
2,7
Scored
3,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 60%
56%
64%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
63%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · Besiktas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 33 25 4 4 +47 79
2 Fenerbahce 33 23 5 5 +43 74
3 Besiktas 33 21 8 4 +36 71
4 Ad. Demirspor 32 18 9 5 +32 63
5 Buyuksehyr 32 15 7 10 +11 52
6 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
7 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
8 Trabzonspor 32 14 6 12 +3 48
9 Karagumruk 32 11 11 10 +10 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Ankaragücü 33 11 6 16 -7 39
13 Antalyaspor 32 10 7 15 -8 37
14 Sivasspor 34 10 7 17 -9 37
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 33 8 10 15 -19 34
17 Ümraniyespor 34 7 9 18 -12 30
18 Gaziantep 34 6 7 21 -35 25
19 Hatayspor 33 6 5 22 -55 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Besiktas
1–0 Y. Belhanda
19′
23′
🟨 Gedson Fernandes
Half-time 1–1
46′
Gedson Fernandes 1–1
A. Hadžiahmetović
Babajide David Akintola 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Salih Uçan
49′
V. Aboubakar 1–2
A. Hadžiahmetović
52′
🟨 Valentin Rosier
53′
🟨 Omar Colley
Kévin Rodrigues 🟨
72′
72′
C. Tosun 1–3
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
73′
81′
🟨 Amir Hadžiahmetović
85′
🔁 T. Bingöl
↦ C. Tosun
85′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ S. Uçan
G. İnler 🔁
↦ B. Stambouli
86′
F. Gulbrandsen 🔁
↦ Y. Belhanda
90′
93′
ℹ️ Gedson Fernandes
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Ertaç Özbir 🟨
94′
95′
V. Aboubakar 1–4
96′
🔁 A. Maxim
↦ A. Hadžiahmetović
97′
🔁 U. Meraş
↦ N. Redmond
98′
🔁 J. Muleka
↦ V. Aboubakar
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
25 E. Özbir G
16 İ. Çokçalış D
5 J. Morel D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
26 Y. Sarı M
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
29 C. Ndiaye F
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
7 H. Onyekuru
88 G. İnler
23 F. Gulbrandsen
27 F. Soyalp
18 G. Karačić
32 Y. Erdoğan
45 M. Çetin
3 A. Dursun
20 E. Akbaba
15 J. Manev

Coach: V. Montella

Besiktas

4-3-3
34 M. Günok G
2 V. Rosier D
26 R. Saïss D
6 O. Colley D
25 A. Masuaku D
8 S. Uçan M
19 A. Hadžiahmetović M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
15 N. Redmond F
10 V. Aboubakar F
9 C. Tosun F
Bench (10)
88 T. Bingöl
20 N. Uysal
77 U. Meraş
44 A. Maxim
40 J. Muleka
17 K. Kesgin
1 E. Destanoğlu
75 D. Tıknaz
23 Welinton
35 S. Kılıçsoy

Coach: Ş. Güneş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,71
B ✓
2,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.