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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Kehlet

FC Copenhagen

T S U T T

5–3

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — DBU Pokalen · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 70%

40%

100%

Points per game

1,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

40%

67%

Both score Ø 47%

60%

33%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,6

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match FC Copenhagen 11. · Nordsjaelland 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	Vejle	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Aalborg	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Silkeborg	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Aarhus Fremad	6	4	0	2	+11	12
6	Viborg	5	4	0	1	+9	12
7	Sonderjyske	6	4	0	2	+8	12
8	Middelfart	4	3	0	1	+13	9
9	Thisted FC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Fremad Amager	4	3	0	1	+1	9
11	FC Copenhagen	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Hobro	3	2	1	0	+5	7
13	Nykobing FC	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Aarhus	3	2	0	1	+9	6
15	Hørsholm-Usserød	3	2	0	1	+8	6
16	Ishøj	3	2	0	1	+6	6
17	Vendsyssel FF	3	2	0	1	+5	6
18	Naestved	3	2	0	1	+5	6
19	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+4	6
20	Vanløse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
21	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
22	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
23	BSF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
24	Horsens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
25	AB Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
26	FA 2000	3	2	0	1	-1	6
27	HB Koge	3	1	1	1	+1	4
28	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Brabrand	3	1	1	1	-2	4
30	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
31	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
32	Midtjylland	2	1	0	1	+4	3
33	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Randers FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
49	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
52	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
53	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
54	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
59	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
60	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Brondby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
98	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
99	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
100	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
101	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
102	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Aarhus Fremad	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Viborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Silkeborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Vejle	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	BSF	2	1	0	1	-4	3
22	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
23	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hobro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Nykobing FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
29	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Randers FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	AB Copenhagen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
78	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
79	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
80	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
81	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
82	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Sonderjyske	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Vejle	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Silkeborg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Aalborg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+13	6
7	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
8	Aarhus Fremad	3	2	0	1	+8	6
9	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Viborg	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
14	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Horsens	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Fremad Amager	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	FC Copenhagen	4	1	2	1	+1	5
24	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
25	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
27	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
28	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
29	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Midtjylland	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
34	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	FC Helsingor	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Brondby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.