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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Ajax

S T U U S

3–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches

Win Ø 50%

59%

40%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

69%

57%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

53%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,6

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

27 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	32	24	7	1	+50	79
2	PSV Eindhoven	32	22	5	5	+48	71
3	Ajax	32	19	9	4	+48	66
4	AZ Alkmaar	32	19	7	6	+31	64
5	Twente	28	16	7	5	+33	55
6	Sparta Rotterdam	28	15	6	7	+20	51
7	Utrecht	30	12	9	9	+1	45
8	Waalwijk	32	11	8	13	-5	41
9	Nijmegen	32	8	14	10	+0	38
10	Heerenveen	30	10	8	12	-9	38
11	Go Ahead Eagles	32	9	10	13	-11	37
12	For Sittard	32	10	5	17	-20	35
13	Vitesse	32	8	10	14	-12	34
14	Volendam	32	9	6	17	-27	33
15	Excelsior	32	8	5	19	-41	29
16	FC Emmen	32	6	10	16	-29	28
17	Groningen	32	4	6	22	-33	18
18	Cambuur	32	4	4	24	-44	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	14	1	1	+40	43
2	Feyenoord	16	12	4	0	+28	40
3	Twente	14	12	2	0	+33	38
4	Ajax	16	9	5	2	+31	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	9	5	2	+17	32
6	Waalwijk	16	9	3	4	+13	30
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	9	1	4	+14	28
8	Volendam	16	8	1	7	-4	25
9	Go Ahead Eagles	16	6	6	4	+2	24
10	Utrecht	15	6	5	4	+2	23
11	Excelsior	16	7	2	7	-7	23
12	Nijmegen	16	3	9	4	+3	18
13	FC Emmen	16	3	9	4	-5	18
14	For Sittard	16	5	3	8	-7	18
15	Vitesse	16	4	6	6	-7	18
16	Heerenveen	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Groningen	16	3	3	10	-9	12
18	Cambuur	16	2	0	14	-23	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	12	3	1	+22	39
2	Ajax	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	AZ Alkmaar	16	10	2	4	+14	32
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	8	4	4	+8	28
5	Sparta Rotterdam	14	6	5	3	+6	23
6	Heerenveen	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Utrecht	15	6	4	5	-1	22
8	Nijmegen	16	5	5	6	-3	20
9	Twente	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	For Sittard	16	5	2	9	-13	17
11	Vitesse	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	4	9	-13	13
13	Waalwijk	16	2	5	9	-18	11
14	Cambuur	16	2	4	10	-21	10
15	FC Emmen	16	3	1	12	-24	10
16	Volendam	16	1	5	10	-23	8
17	Groningen	16	1	3	12	-24	6
18	Excelsior	16	1	3	12	-34	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.