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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Pacos Ferreira

T T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Rio Ave

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

31%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

34%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 18. · Rio Ave 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	32	27	2	3	+59	83
2	Porto	33	26	4	3	+48	82
3	Sp Braga	33	24	3	6	+42	75
4	Sp Lisbon	32	22	4	6	+38	70
5	Guimaraes	33	16	5	12	-2	53
6	Arouca	33	14	9	10	-3	51
7	Chaves	33	12	10	11	-2	46
8	Famalicao	33	13	4	16	-8	43
9	Boavista	33	11	8	14	-14	41
10	Vizela	33	11	7	15	-3	40
11	Casa Pia	32	11	7	14	-8	40
12	Rio Ave	32	10	9	13	-5	39
13	Gil Vicente	33	9	7	17	-10	34
14	Portimonense	33	10	4	19	-21	34
15	Estoril	32	9	4	19	-18	31
16	Maritimo	33	7	5	21	-29	26
17	Santa Clara	33	5	7	21	-29	22
18	Pacos Ferreira	32	5	5	22	-35	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	14	1	1	+33	43
2	Porto	16	14	0	2	+30	42
3	Sp Lisbon	16	13	1	2	+30	40
4	Sp Braga	16	12	2	2	+26	38
5	Guimaraes	17	10	3	4	+6	33
6	Arouca	17	10	2	5	+5	32
7	Boavista	17	8	6	3	+2	30
8	Famalicao	17	9	1	7	+2	28
9	Rio Ave	16	8	2	6	+4	26
10	Chaves	16	6	5	5	+2	23
11	Casa Pia	16	6	4	6	+1	22
12	Gil Vicente	16	5	6	5	+0	21
13	Maritimo	17	6	3	8	-2	21
14	Portimonense	16	6	3	7	-5	21
15	Estoril	16	6	2	8	-6	20
16	Vizela	16	5	4	7	+0	19
17	Santa Clara	17	4	5	8	-11	17
18	Pacos Ferreira	16	2	2	12	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	13	1	2	+26	40
2	Porto	17	12	4	1	+18	40
3	Sp Braga	17	12	1	4	+16	37
4	Sp Lisbon	16	9	3	4	+8	30
5	Chaves	17	6	5	6	-4	23
6	Vizela	17	6	3	8	-3	21
7	Guimaraes	16	6	2	8	-8	20
8	Arouca	16	4	7	5	-8	19
9	Casa Pia	16	5	3	8	-9	18
10	Famalicao	16	4	3	9	-10	15
11	Rio Ave	16	2	7	7	-9	13
12	Gil Vicente	17	4	1	12	-10	13
13	Portimonense	17	4	1	12	-16	13
14	Pacos Ferreira	16	3	3	10	-13	12
15	Estoril	16	3	2	11	-12	11
16	Boavista	16	3	2	11	-16	11
17	Santa Clara	16	1	2	13	-18	5
18	Maritimo	16	1	2	13	-27	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.