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Superligaen

Referee: Morten Krogh

Aarhus

S T U S S

1–1

Full-time

Nordsjaelland

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Nordsjaelland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,3

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 48%

46%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 52%

39%

64%

Average goals

1,9

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Nordsjaelland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	29	16	4	9	+24	52
2	Nordsjaelland	28	14	8	6	+17	50
3	Aarhus	28	13	7	8	+10	46
4	Viborg	28	13	7	8	+8	46
5	Midtjylland	29	11	11	7	+12	44
6	Randers FC	28	10	10	8	-1	40
7	Odense	29	10	10	9	-9	40
8	Brondby	29	11	6	12	-8	39
9	Silkeborg	29	9	7	13	-7	34
10	Aalborg	29	6	9	14	-7	27
11	Horsens	29	7	6	16	-23	27
12	Lyngby	29	5	9	15	-16	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	14	10	2	2	+14	32
2	FC Copenhagen	14	9	2	3	+15	29
3	Viborg	14	7	5	2	+5	26
4	Aarhus	14	6	5	3	+7	23
5	Silkeborg	15	6	3	6	-1	21
6	Randers FC	14	6	3	5	-2	21
7	Brondby	15	6	3	6	-6	21
8	Odense	15	5	5	5	-3	20
9	Midtjylland	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Horsens	14	5	4	5	-6	19
11	Lyngby	14	3	6	5	-7	15
12	Aalborg	14	3	5	6	-2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Midtjylland	14	6	7	1	+14	25
2	FC Copenhagen	15	7	2	6	+9	23
3	Aarhus	14	7	2	5	+3	23
4	Viborg	14	6	2	6	+3	20
5	Odense	14	5	5	4	-6	20
6	Randers FC	14	4	7	3	+1	19
7	Nordsjaelland	14	4	6	4	+3	18
8	Brondby	14	5	3	6	-2	18
9	Aalborg	15	3	4	8	-5	13
10	Silkeborg	14	3	4	7	-6	13
11	Lyngby	15	2	3	10	-9	9
12	Horsens	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.