Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | +33 | 81 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | +16 | 62 |
| 3 |
Aarhus
|
33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +16 | 60 |
| 4 |
Brondby
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +13 | 52 |
| 5 |
Aalborg
|
34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |
Randers FC
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +5 | 48 |
| 7 |
Nordsjaelland
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 8 |
Odense
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Horsens
|
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | -14 | 46 |
| 10 |
Sonderjyske
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -12 | 38 |
| 11 |
Lyngby
|
33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | -19 | 37 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
33 | 5 | 15 | 13 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 |
Silkeborg
|
32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -16 | 26 |
| 14 |
Esbjerg
|
32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -26 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
FC Copenhagen
Brondby
Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Midtjylland
Brondby
FC Copenhagen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.